Choice Commodity Research
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*Dollar Update*
The dollar index fell to around 97.5 level as markets awaited delayed US data. Investors eye jobs and CPI reports, expect steady Fed rates, and weighed improved risk sentiment and higher yen volatility after Japan’s election outcome.
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*Global Update*
• US and Iran engaged in talks in Oman to reduce tensions, described positively by both President Trump and Tehran, who view it as a progress step.
• Trump cautioned about severe consequences if no deal on Iran’s nuclear program is finalized; Tehran affirmed its commitment to uranium enrichment.
• Upcoming economic indicators include the January jobs report and December retail sales data, hinting at a potential slowing labor market.
• The People's Bank of China increased its gold reserves for the fifteenth month, now totaling 74.19 million fine troy ounces.
• In Japan, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's electoral victory raised expectations for looser fiscal policies and tax cuts.
• The US and Bangladesh are expected to sign a trade agreement, timed before elections in Dhaka.
• India and the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) established terms for a free-trade agreement, focusing on exports like engineering goods and textiles from India, while importing crude oil and precious metals from GCC countries.
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*Call Ratio Spread*
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:
Buy NATURALGAS 315 CE 20-Feb 1 lot @ 32
Sell NATURALGAS 330 CE 20-Feb 2 lots @ 26.60
Buy NATURALGAS 340 CE 20-Feb 1 lot @ 23.55
Max loss: 2937.50 below 315 (on expiry)
Max profit of 15812.50 at 330 (on expiry)
Max profit of 3312.50 above 340 (on expiry)
Risk-Reward: 1 : 5.40
Margin required: 110,000
Breakeven : 317.40
(Duration: 2 weeks)
Call Ratio Spread - NATURALGAS,Max Profit - 15812.50| Max Loss - 2937.50.Check out details:https://finx.choiceindia.com/research-report/research/option_strategy/report
Oil Update
Russia is redirecting oil cargoes—up to 12 million barrels on waiting tankers—to China at widening discounts after Indian refiners paused purchases due to a U.S.-India trade deal. Multiple vessels are idling offshore or signaling 'for orders' in East Asian waters, seeking Chinese buyers.
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Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Exit @ 311.6...Buy in Commodity ALUMINI|27FEB26 @ 311 SL 309.5 TGT 314.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy ALUMINI|27FEB26 in Commodity @ 311 SL 309.5 TGT 314.00
US Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment
Actual : 57.3
Forecast: 55.0
Prev.: 56.4
Impact : Negative for Bullion
US Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
Actual : 3.5%
Prev.: 4.0%
Impact : Positive for Bullion
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Update on Book Part Profit : Exit at cost in SILVERMIC|27FEB26
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 251800...Buy in Commodity SILVERMIC|27FEB26 @ 248273 SL 243900 TGT 257019.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Target Achieved @ 311.4...Buy in Commodity CRUDEOIL|17FEB26 PE 5800.00 @ 257 SL 230 TGT 311.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Stopped Out @ 18.65...Buy in Commodity NATURALGAS|20FEB26 PE 300.00 @ 21.1 SL 18.7 TGT 25.90
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy SILVERMIC|27FEB26 in Commodity @ 248273 SL 243900 TGT 257019.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 276...Buy in Commodity CRUDEOIL|17FEB26 PE 5800.00 @ 257 SL 230 TGT 311.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 275...Buy in Commodity CRUDEOIL|17FEB26 PE 5800.00 @ 257 SL 230 TGT 311.00
Cardamom Update
Cardamom farmers in Idukki reported slower capsule maturation, leading to fewer harvests in December and January. Unusually cold weather extended the crop’s maturation cycle from the normal 30–45 days to around 85–90 days.
Impact: Positive for Cardamom.
-Choice Broking
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