LunarCrush

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿⚽️🇲🇽 England vs Mexico tonight. What the data says, no spin: Pre-match fan sentiment (3-day avg): England 72, Mexico 65 Market odds: England 37.8%, Mexico 31.6%, draw 30.6% Social volume: Mexico 3.1x England Sentiment and the market both point to England. In our 2022 backtest, when those two agreed the pick hit 6 of 7. Volume favors Mexico heavily, but volume called winners worse than a coin flip last time out. And Mexico plays at home. The LunarCrush model's call: England to advance. A lean, not a lock.

🇳🇴Norway wins again but social data has won nearly every game so far. Just maybe might be something here... https://lunarcrush.com/blog/world-cup-social-prediction/

🫨Earthquake social mentions at all-time highs.

Solana is posting the highest sentiment of any major cap at 85%. SOL up 22% on the week as engagements top 49M.

🐐Messi is driving 30% of all positive World Cup conversation. Six goals in three games has the entire internet talking. ADIDAS kit chatter is climbing with it.

🟧Crypto's entire social layer runs through one coin. $BTC holds 29% social dominance. The next name, Solana, sits at 8.6%.

Is $NEAR nearing a turn higher? Social and market metrics are pushing to weekly highs with Near's share of social activity vs. all of crypto up 32.9% this week as price pushes to weekly highs. The community is pointing to three catalysts within social posts... 1 Kalshi Perpetuals went live on NEAR. That single launch is 65% of the supportive conversation right now. 2 The post-quantum testnet upgrade is rolling out. NEAR is adding post-quantum-safe signing, letting users rotate to quantum-resistant keys in a single transaction, ahead of most major L1s. 3 Enterprise AI adoption is climbing, and the narrative has shifted from "another L1" to the settlement layer for AI agents.

🇺🇸USA vs 🇧🇦Bosnia & Herzegovina ⚽️Round of 32. Win or go home. Kickoff is tonight, but the social match already has a scoreline. Last 7 days of social engagements: 🇺🇸 691.28M 🇧🇦 43.12M The US is pulling 16x the conversation. Mentions and creators say the same thing, roughly 13-14x in USA's favor. Then sentiment flips the script. USA 79. Bosnia 77. And sentiment has been the defining metric this entire World Cup. A team getting a sixteenth of the volume is earning almost the exact same love. 5pm PT, Levi's Stadium. The conversation is already happening. Now you can see it.

📉 Social magnitude ≠ seismic magnitude. In April 2024 a M4.8 earthquake hit New Jersey. Zero deaths. It pulled 70% more social engagement than a M7.4 in Taiwan two days earlier that killed 19 people. We mapped 39.15B "earthquake" engagements since 2020 to the quakes behind every spike. The feed reacts to proximity, not power. The biggest spike of the decade came from the M8.8 in Kamchatka, which killed almost no one. The deadliest quake in the data, the M7.8 in Turkey and Syria, ranks dead last. Full breakdown and the social seismograph 👇 https://lunarcrush.com/blog/when-the-earth-shakes-the-social-feed-erupts

🧐1 YEAR PRICE PERFORMANCE COMPARISON $BTC -43.17% $ZEC +1,020.57% $1,000 invested in Zcash 365 days ago would be $10,589 today. $1,000 invested in Bitcoin 365 days ago would be 0.0092 BTC and a dollar value of $553. That same amount invested in Zcash would be worth 0.176 BTC. Put differently, Zcash appreciated about 19x against Bitcoin over the last year.

$TRUMP has lost 98% share of social vs. all of crypto since launch. On launch day, Official Trump was the 3rd most popular coin on social media with a 10.98% social share, only behind Bitcoin (14.61%) and Solana (13.31%).

🪐The top 5 coins ranked by unique creators posting per hour. Planet size scales with the crowd. The bigger the world, more people talking right now. 1 Bitcoin $BTC 48,680creators/hr 2 Solana $SOL 21,556 3 Ethereum $ETH 18,366 4 The Black Bull $ANSEM 9,788 5 PumpFun $PUMP 6,998

The 10 most talked-about coins in crypto right now, ranked by social mentions over the last 24 hours. Bitcoin $BTC Saylor's Strategy unveiled a new Digital Credit Capital Framework today to grow its Bitcoin stack, keeping institutional buying front and center. Solana $SOL A Solana token called ANSEM ran roughly 630x in a day, and the community is treating it as proof SOL has the deepest culture in crypto. Ethereum $ETH Airdrop buzz around Aligned $ALIGN and "Ethereum is ready to eat finance" talk has ETH holders fired up. PumpFun $PUMP Traders smell a long-awaited PUMP airdrop, and a whale dormant for over a year just spent $358K buying back in. The Black Bull $ANSEM Ansem's personal token blew up after he started airdropping around $7M to holders, with one fan tattooing "Ansem To 1B" on his forehead. XRP $XRP A report that XRP is now connected to X Money through Cross River Bank reignited the payments-rail narrative. Hyperliquid $HYPE Arthur Hayes called for a Hyperliquid options DEX to t

It's the weekend but crypto never sleeps. The top mentioned coins across all major social networks includes two major new insights. 1) Solana is substantially outpacing Ethereum at one of the highest rates ever. 2) $ANSEM has joined the list, outpacing Dogecoin. 1 Bitcoin $BTC 2 Solana $SOL 3 Ethereum $ETH 4 PumpFun $PUMP 5 $XRP 6 Hyperliquid $HYPE 7 $USDC 8 Cardano $ADA 9 The Black Bull $ANSEM 10 Dogecoin $DOGE

Posts about Bitcoin's demise have increased +61% as BTC price fell another -6.4% this week on continual worries over MSTR and STRC.

Heading into the USA-Türkiye World Cup match, sentiment is nearly dead even with nearly 2.2 million social mentions this week about the teams. 🇺🇸 48% positive sentiment 🇹🇷 52% positive sentiment Going to be a great match.

AI has stolen crypto's thunder, at least in terms of attention and mindshare across social. 1 Year Engagements: CRYPTO Bitcoin +0.4% Ethereum −41.3% Tether −83% BNB −61% XRP −62% Solana −39% TRON −50% AI Anthropic +2,502.9% OpenAI +81.5% Alphabet +92.3% NVIDIA +92.2% Perplexity +14.9% Micron +673.5% DELL +76.3%

⚽️ Does social media predict the World Cup? We ran six years of data against real results. The findings: Raw buzz picked the 2022 knockout winner just 45% of the time. Worse than a coin flip. Social volume is a rear-view mirror. It peaks AFTER matches, not before. Sentiment is the real signal. It matched the bookmakers at 73% and caught the two biggest upsets the market missed. Our 2026 board: France, Spain, England, Norway, Portugal. Social longshots the market sleeps on: Norway + Portugal. Fade the hype: Croatia, top of the social-only board and already bottom of their group on zero points. Full analysis + charts 👇 https://lunarcrush.com/blog/world-cup-social-prediction

🔻In less than six months, $MSTR sentiment has sunk from as high as 97% positive to only 49% positive today.

📊Bitcoin breaks $60,000 as social mentions fall off a cliff.