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⚡️ JUST IN: Dow futures fall nearly -500 points as oil prices surge over +5% and US Treasury Yields hit new 24-year highs.
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⚡️ JUST IN: Chipotle stock, $CMG, surges over +6% on reports that Starbucks explored a takeover).
The deal would create a combined company with almost $50 billion in annual sales.
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⚡️ JUST IN: Brent crude oil prices rise above $105/barrel as reports say Trump is considering resuming “major combat operations” in Iran.
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⚡️ JUST IN: Fed minutes show most officials expect another interest rate hike by year-end.
All 19 Fed officials backed the September rate hike. Almost all saw upward inflation risks, with some warning AI could push demand above supply.
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Ray Dalio warned that an inevitable US government debt crisis will erupt within three years.
US government debt already exceeds $40.2 trillion, while authorities will spend at least $1.5 trillion servicing it and paying interest this year.
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When the Nasdaq is up 20% or more through the first three quarters of the year, that strength has historically marked powerful momentum thrusts.
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Many people are saying we're in a bubble.
Here's what the 2000 and 2007 tops had in common. Different causes, same sequence:
1. Yields topped first
2. Stocks topped second
3. Commodities topped last
If something bigger is coming, this may be the order to watch.
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Commodity prices are skyrocketing.
The Bloomberg Commodity Index is up +37.3% YoY, near its largest 12-month increase since the 2022 energy crisis. It tracks 25 exchange-traded futures contracts across energy, metals, and agriculture.
The index is up +32% year-to-date, exceeding its increase before the 2008 Financial Crisis.
The Bloomberg Commodity Subindex jumped +44.9% YoY, its largest 12-month increase since 2022. Commodity inflation is making a powerful comeback.
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Compared with US M2 supply, Nasdaq is now more overvalued than during the 2000 dot-com bubble.
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21Shares launched Europe’s first ETP on Zcash, listed on Euronext in Paris and Amsterdam.
It also launched an ETP on ETHFI, Etherfi’s governance token.
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💲 Tether Rejects MiCA License
Tether declined to apply for a MiCA license in the EU over reserve rules.
Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino said the rules require 60% of significant stablecoin issuers’ reserves in commercial bank deposits, making stablecoins less protected. EU deposit insurance covers only €100,000.
“When MiCA becomes safer for consumers and stablecoin issuers, we may reconsider the decision,” Ardoino said.
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China has significantly increased gold purchases this year, already exceeding all of 2025, according to PRC customs/BBG.
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Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei again called for slower AI development for public safety at a tech conference in San Francisco.
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