Vijay Thakkar®

Monthly Analysis | July 1st Week | 2025 | Vijay Thakkar https://youtu.be/8aBUm-N_hAI

Mumbai One of the Most Expensive Cities, Yet. • Among the world's most expensive real estate markets. • Cost of living is very high. • People spend 2-4 hours every day commuting. • Tiny homes cost crores. • High taxes and expensive rents. But one day of heavy rain and many parts of the city get flooded. We are paying global prices but still struggling for basic infrastructure. #mumbairain #rain https://x.com/vijaythk/status/2073297519740698731?s=46

The market keeps teaching us. I recently realised that I had been making one mistake for years while reading charts, and it probably made me miss many big winners. Sharing my observation and learning in this video👇 https://youtu.be/xbmJPPa81Aw?si=DXOROdrvnmxo3PLJ

Weekly Analysis | June 5th Week | 2026 | Vijay Thakkar https://youtu.be/Re4_YmHZLIY

Method vs Emotion The Real Test. Bought a stock as per my method/rules. Few days later hit Stop Loss exited as per plan. Now same stock is giving a Buy signal again, as per the same method. Method says: take the trade. Rules don't change just because the last one didn't work. Emotion says: I just lost on this one, why risk it again? This is where most traders actually lose not in the trade, but in the decision after the trade. What would YOU genuinely do here? Follow the method, or sit out? No right/wrong answers just want to know how you'd react. https://x.com/vijaythk/status/2069703618240917707?s=46

Most breakouts are obvious only after they happen. In today’s video, I analyse a small-cap stock that has been consolidating in a tight range for nearly 1 year and explain what its price action may be telling us. https://youtu.be/ICBVbnoAv3o

Today, I was travelling in an auto-rickshaw. Out of nowhere, the driver started talking about AI (Artificial Intelligence). He said, Sir, if we use AI properly, we can reduce traffic in cities. I was surprised. So I asked him, Do you know what Artificial Intelligence actually is? Without a second of hesitation, he replied, Yes Sir Ji. And then we had a very interesting conversation about AI. Honestly, I wasn’t expecting an auto-rickshaw ride to turn into a discussion on Artificial Intelligence. Have you ever had a completely unexpected conversation with a stranger that made you stop and think? https://x.com/vijaythk/status/2069461034444919062?s=46

High PE Doesn't Always Mean Overvalued Why the Most Expensive Stocks Often Made the Most Money One of the most common mistakes investors make: High PE = Overvalued Stock The truth is far more nuanced. Let's look at real numbers. DMart's Journey March 2017: PE 108, Price 657 October 2021: PE 313, Price 5,900 The stock looked expensive at every single stage. Yet it delivered nearly 9x returns in under 4 years. More Examples of Expensive Wealth Creators Trent - Looked pricey for years, yet became one of retail's biggest wealth creators. Tata Elxsi - Consistently traded at premium valuations, but strong earnings growth justified the re-rating. Astral - Rarely looked cheap, yet rewarded long-term investors handsomely. The Real Question to Ask Stop asking: Is the PE 80, 100, or 150? Start asking: Can this business compound earnings at 20–30% for the next 5–10 years? The Takeaway A stock can be overvalued at 15 PE and undervalued at 100 PE it all depends on the growth behind it. Valuation matters. But business quality, earnings growth, and longevity matter even more. Most of India's greatest multibaggers spent most of their journey looking expensive not cheap. Next time a stock looks expensive, look deeper before writing it off. #MasterInOne https://x.com/vijaythk/status/2069299447616676016?s=46

Building a watchlist is one of the most important steps in Swing & Positional Trading. In this video, I shared process to identify strong sectors and find strong stocks for your watchlist. https://youtu.be/tNehUF2fem0

#Nikkei225 🇯🇵 Markets may differ. Human behavior doesn't. On 17 Sep 2025, I posted about a 35-year breakout above the 1989 peak of 38,957. At that time, Nikkei was trading near 45,000. Today, the index is around 69,300. Performance: • 45,000 → 69,300 • Gain: 24,300 points • Return: +54% • Time taken: 9 months And interestingly, the next major range-based resistance on my chart is near 71,043 a level the index is now approaching. This is exactly why I keep saying: Price Action is not limited to stocks. It works in indices, commodities, currencies, and markets across the world. The principle remains the same: ➡️ Long consolidation ➡️ Major breakout ➡️ Price discovery ➡️ Trend expansion The Nikkei breakout was 35 years in the making. Once the ceiling broke, momentum did the rest. #MasterInOne https://x.com/vijaythk/status/2066415349852201051?s=46

Weekly Analysis | June 3rd Week | 2026 | Vijay Thakkar https://youtu.be/2QT2ee7lanw

US 🤝 Iran Both sides are talking peace, crude is cooling off, and markets are happy. But it's Friday... And as every trader knows, the most dangerous candle is sometimes the one that forms over the weekend. 😅 Hope for peace. Hope for stability. 🙏 #ceasefire #peace https://x.com/vijaythk/status/2065377366424354980?s=46

Brent Crude is at a very important level. On 7–8 April, when the first US–Iran ceasefire news came out, Brent made a low near $86.09. After that, tensions escalated again and crude rallied all the way to $115. Now, after fresh reports of progress toward a US–Iran deal, Brent has fallen right back to the same support zone near $86. Oil prices have been under pressure as hopes for a diplomatic resolution improved. (Reuters) This is the key point: If Brent breaks below $86, it would signal that the market is pricing in a lower geopolitical risk premium. Lower crude prices are generally positive for oil-importing economies like India. It could become a tailwind for inflation, margins, and overall market sentiment. Sometimes the biggest signals don't come from stocks they come from intermarket moves. Keep an eye on Brent $86. This level may matter more than many realize. #CrudeOil #Brent #Markets #Nifty #MasterInOne https://x.com/vijaythk/status/2065367751309570356?s=46

One thing I've learned over the years: Markets work in cycles. Sometimes it's a great environment for traders. Sometimes investors do better. Sometimes momentum works beautifully. And sometimes nothing seems to work. The mistake most of us make is trying to change our method every time the market changes. When our strategy stops working, we immediately think: Maybe I need a new method. But the reality is: No method works 365 days a year. Every approach has its season. Every strategy has periods of outperformance and underperformance. We can't control market cycles. We can't force opportunities. What we can control is: • Risk management • Position sizing • Discipline • Patience In my experience, success comes from surviving the phases when your method isn't working, so you're fully prepared when its cycle returns. The market will eventually change. The real question is: Will you still be there when it does? Just sharing my experience. What's your experience been? #MasterInOne https://x.com/vijaythk/status/2064951150399643803?s=46

How to Find Outperforming Indices Using Relative Strength | 3 Ways to Participate https://youtu.be/wGBOzh0AO20

Monthly Analysis | June 2nd Week | 2026 | Vijay Thakkar https://youtu.be/moW2VOaQbMI

Charts tell you what the market thinks. Management interactions help you understand what the business is trying to become. Attending my first in-person investor meet today. Looking forward to gaining deeper insights into the company’s vision, strategy, and growth journey. https://x.com/vijaythk/status/2062476522104176951?s=46