The Art of Prediction

If ever the bulishness of crypto switches, it’s going to happen within 6 months. And I am certain that Storm is going to ride on that.

I am tho certain that if it takes 5 years to be realised to 1bil market cap, I am gonna wait for it. The project is not dying at all. Yes, it doesn’t have so many users now, but they have money and technical foundation while Telegram plans to release its wallet in time when there is the clarity act is being enacted in the US.

Regarding Storm, I think, I should recognise one my mistake. I didn’t expect that it’s going to take so much time, but it’s also partly because of TON what also feels kinda crazy why it takes so much type to distribute among 1bil users of whom there are also many crypto bros who use telegram for crypto. But I think it’s something what I simply should improve in my analysis. I don’t change the fact that I think that it’s going to perform someday, because they have a very strong base and still don’t sell their supply + implement new features (recently their made complex social profiles for copytrading, although currently in testing). It’s just the thing that I didn’t expect it to take so long and I should have told you about how much time it could take if I knew. Anyways even tho I tried many times, I can’t really find reasons why it wouldn’t make at least 25mil$ capitalisation what is already a mil of liquid supply, but it can go much higher to potentially at least 200mil$ range to maximum at billions if it ever reaches a flagman status what is possible because technically sometimes it’s even better than current flagmans.

Although you know, maybe even PMCs could be a good way to make some innovations, maybe finally founding some Wacanda with its sovereign fund)

Btw why people created PMCs in Africa, because for cooperating with government they were receiving a percentage of profits. But also why it’s really not the best way to earn money, because resource profit flow should be stable to actually get rich from resources. And even tho PMCs parasitise on African instability, this lack of stability is also a reason why not a single PMC is so influential like Saudi Arabia sovereign fund.

I have some IT fatigue tbh lol, although I see some opportunities there, especially in games and crypto, but I really for example have ideas for elite clothing brand, and it’s something I ignore sometimes because “IT has more money”, but I really shouldn’t I think.

Also you know what also might suprise you? The richest people on Earth are obviously IT mainly, but fashion brands owners are REALLY CLOSE to them. And if you live for example in France or Italy, it might be much better way to accumulate wealth for you - to create this luxury brand.

The thing is - it’s also the fact that IT is really oversaturated. Probably AI will be the last biggest invention in this field. Others might simply provide unique services or art which can be successful and bring some money. So it’s really smart to search for alternative ways, maybe even bigger economies in future. Manufacturing, resource extractions are just the obvious ones, but some actually new technology might be the way.

You know that many people say IT is the most profitable. And I myself followed this way, and maybe in some sense it’s true, until you find out that usually it’s profitable where it works - the US mainly and other big flexible economies to lesser extent. You know what I also found out? The real actual wealth is hidden under resources, simply oil. What complicates things that usually to become rich on that you need to stably control lands you extract this oil on what is the most successful is only maybe Saudi Arabia (who accumulate all their wealth to their sovereign fund under absolute monarchy, essentially their money 🙂). And I think we really undervalue these alternative ways, because if you are not lucky enough to be born in the US, it might be much more difficult to realise their inventions in your country rather than do something more accessible in your country, like some entrepreneurs became oligarchs-billionaires on the resources in post-soviet countries.

Now not only Chinese corporations build a lot of housing, but even big names in the industry.

Trump Tower is going to be built in Tbilisi. It’s probably the second project in Georgia with a big name. The first one was Dubai government building company building an artificial island in Batumi, the second one is Trump Tower in Tbilisi with an intention to build “New York”.

China is going expansionist. Recently they enacted the law to be able to mobilise everyone for expansionist goals. And it touches not only Taiwan, they also have “development reasons” in their list of reasons which is so vague that can target ANY country in the world. If they think that someone threats their companies in Africa or they need more resources from Russia, they could start mobilisation for the war against these countries.

Although Renaissance era was actually also kinda decentralised, the thing is - it was less decentralised than feudal ages. There might be a certain metric of efficiency, because the more advancements were developed, the more it seems people were able to get use from more and more decentralised systems. And it seems logical. First city states were rare and usually only possible to control their own cities. First Bronze Age empires developed certain planned economy governorships, but collapsed. Republics were a solution against tyrannical kings, but were successful only within city states. Roman Empire and Chinese Empire although were working only under autocracy, still had complex institutions and first steps to capitalism. Feudal ages were a primary example of extreme decentralising to the grounds with different estates, vassals, merchant companies, churches and communal cities. While to become efficient, they reinvented bureaucracy under competition with each other. That’s where first seeds of full capitalism were planted what created federalism, nationality and modern republicanism together with much scientific and moral advances. During that period more and more people were becoming more educated and flexible living their peasant past and villages. And now we get late-stage capitalism, advancements which don’t benefit to workforce while certain countries like Switzerland, Singapore, potentially in future first independent SEZs federations would invoke a new era of decentralised efficiency. It seems highly logical.

I guess it would be smart to analyse history by centralisation/decentralisation eras. Crypto was created at times when actually world was becoming more and more centralised (2008 crisis started otherwise tendency). Feudal ages, although very average innovation-wise was a primary example of a decentralised civilisation. And it happened after the fall of the Roman Empire. Our age kinda reminds both the end of the Roman Empire and the end of the feudal ages, but in different ways. It’s the end of the Roman Empire because the world becomes so centralised that it invokes unrest and the world is an epiphany of cathedral thinking what invokes aggressive system questioning and consequently renaissance tendencies. Decentralised renaissance looks unusual, but probably there is a certain explanation to this. Nowadays individuality is taken from you by the centralised system, while the lack of control invokes questioning.

It’s going to change somedays anyways, especially if Storm starts implementing functionality for professionals. But it’s just the fact. You can’t earn that much from mass audience asking their money nowadays. And all the crypto was built on this idea:

And I think it’s obvious. Even that Storm. Why would 1bil users spend their money on speculations when they even can’t fucking afford food? When you target mass audience, nowadays you get not that much, because they are simply poor.

You know what I feel is going on with crypto but mainly with TON? And partly with the world? There were certain periods in the history of economics when 20 years depressions happened. That was literally prolonged periods of really bad economics when there was not so much upside in people’s wealth and in general everyone was becoming just poorer. I think it’s what mainly is going on with the world despite aggressive innovations like AI which mainly benefit to big corporations and their stockholders only. People don’t have money, and it’s more and more difficult to earn some. 2021 altseason was living on the fact that the US was printing and giving away money, what doesn’t happen nowadays because of a still high inflation and a high interest simultaneously. It’s really disgusting time to live economics-wise and you can’t do anything besides fighting and just outliving this shit. 5 years already passed. We still had some bullish events (like Solana memesone for example), but they are difficult still, but it’s at least something. By difficulty you can learn, so use this opportunity to become stronger. Euphoria always happens sooner or later. It’s inevitable.

Well, I think first time in recorded history, Europe becomes only 2 seasons: warm and hot.

Yes, all passports, addresses, transactions, EVERYTHING you sent to them.

LEAVE EUROPE, LEAVE. At least you can find countries with banks who won’t share data so easily. Fucking imbeciles.