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BIMB SECURITIES
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| 日期 | 订阅者增长 | 提及 | 频道 | |
| 01 七月 | 0 |
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| 7 | 📱BIMB SECURITIES RESEARCH: WEEKLY MARKET UPDATE 📱
Theme of the Week: "Domestic Shelter" — Global Squall, Domestic Shelter
📉 MARKET PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
- FBMKLCI: Fell -2.6% WoW to close at 1,667.7 (slipping to -0.7% YTD).
- Foreign Funds: Resumed net selling with an outflow of -RM555mn (tracking a broader EM exit).
- Local Investors: Fully stepped up to absorb the dip! Local Retail bought +RM380mn and Local Institutions added +RM175mn in net buying.
- Sectors: Plantation was the sole gainer (+0.1% WoW). Industrial Products (-5.8% WoW) and Technology (-4.0% WoW) suffered the heaviest hits on global tech profit-taking.
📊 COMMODITIES & FOREX SNAPSHOT
- Brent Crude: Collapsed a further -10.6% WoW to USD71.99/bbl as the Iran ceasefire held and the Strait of Hormuz fully reopened. (Note: This is a massive fiscal relief for Malaysia, easing the national fuel-subsidy bill!)
- CPO: Eased -2.0% WoW to RM4,504/MT.
- Ringgit (USDMYR): Showed great resilience, strengthening -1.2% WoW to 4.09 despite the stronger greenback.
- Gold: Dropped -1.6% to USD4,088.74/Tr Oz.
🎯 STRATEGY & MARKET OUTLOOK
Because this sell-off is driven by offshore factors rather than local fundamentals, we see this correction as an accumulation opportunity. We shift our focus entirely toward a Domestic Shelter theme—favoring domestic-facing, cash-generative companies protected from external shocks.
🔥 TOP 5 WATCHLIST FOR THE WEEK
1. 🛢Hibiscus Petroleum (BUY; TP: RM2.80)
- Our View: Solid balance sheet; current valuations already discount the softer crude environment.
2. 🏢Sunway Construction (BUY; TP: RM8.28)
- Our View: A pure domestic-demand play insulated from global equity shocks with a powerful data-centre order book.
3. 🌐 Telekom Malaysia (BUY; TP: RM7.78)
- Our View: Highly defensive, recurring cash flows backed by structural hyperscaler data-centre connectivity demand.
4. ⚡️ Tenaga Nasional (BUY; TP: RM16.77)
- Our View: Strong defensive yield paired with structural growth from the surge in data-centre power consumption.
5. ⚓️ Velesto Energy (HOLD; TP: RM0.32)
- Our View: Steady domestic oil-services exposure providing a comfortable dividend yield cushion.
Prepared for investor reference only. Please do your own assessment and risk mitigation or consult with your licensed dealer representative before making investment decisions.
Source: Condensed from BIMB Securities Research Strategy Report (29 June 2026). | 139 |
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| 14 | 📱 *BIMB SECURITIES RESEARCH: WEEKLY MARKET UPDATE* 📱
*Theme of the Week:* _"A Defensive Barbell" — Relief Rally Meets a Fragile Truce_
📉 *MARKET PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW*
- *FBMKLCI:* Surged *+1.7% WoW* to close at *1,712.0* (+1.9% YTD).
- *Foreign Funds:* Selling effectively dried up with a minor net outflow of just *-RM11mn* (a massive recovery from -RM658mn the previous week).
- *Local Institutions:* Remained the market's backbone, clocking *+RM318mn* in net buying.
- *Local Retail:* Turned net sellers at *-RM307mn* as investors locked in gains.
- *Sectors:* Technology dominated, leaping *+5.0% WoW* on the back of the North Asian AI wave. *Healthcare* was the biggest laggard, dropping *-4.8% WoW* on foreign profit-taking.
📊 *COMMODITIES & FOREX SNAPSHOT*
- *Brent Crude:* Slashed *-7.7% WoW* to *USD80.57/bbl* as the prospective reopening of the Strait of Hormuz unwound the geopolitical risk premium.
- *CPO:* Gained *+4.7% WoW* to *RM4,594/MT* on firm export demand.
- *Ringgit (USDMYR):* Depreciated *+1.9% WoW* to *4.14* as the US Dollar Index firmed.
- *Gold:* Eased *-1.5%* to *USD4,155.71/Tr Oz* as safe-haven demand cooled.
🎯 *STRATEGY & MARKET OUTLOOK*
While the near-term tone is constructive, the ceasefire remains fragile due to recent friction in Lebanon. To manage this, we adopt a Defensive Barbell Strategy:
1. *35% Allocation:* Energy-price insurance sleeve to hedge against any sudden Middle East flare-ups.
2. *65% Allocation:* Focused on domestic resilience, mega-infrastructure, and data-centre beneficiaries where earnings visibility is strongest.
🔥 *TOP 5 WATCHLIST FOR THE WEEK*
1. 🛢️ *Hibiscus Petroleum (BUY; TP: RM2.80)*
- Our View: Part of our energy insurance sleeve; provides a direct upstream hedge if the ceasefire unravels.
2. 🏗️ *Sunway Construction (BUY; TP: RM8.28)*
- Our View: Infrastructure anchor with a robust data-centre order book pipeline driving domestic growth.
3. 🌐 *Telekom Malaysia (BUY; TP: RM7.78)*
- Our View: Connective backbone play, directly benefiting from structural broadband and hyperscaler demand.
4. ⚡ *Tenaga Nasional (BUY; TP: RM16.77)*
- Our View: Secure defensive yield coupled with massive structural upside from surging data-centre power loads.
5. ⚓ *Velesto Energy (HOLD; TP: RM0.32)*
- Our View: Downside-managed oil services exposure offering a steady dividend-yield profile.
*Prepared for investor reference only. Please do your own assessment and risk mitigation or consult withc your licensed dealer representative before making investment decisions.*
*Source: Condensed from BIMB Securities Research Strategy Report (22 June 2026).* | 183 |
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