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BIMB SECURITIES
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频道帖子
| 2 |  没有文字... | 90 |
| 3 | 📱BIMB SECURITIES RESEARCH: WEEKLY MARKET UPDATE 📱
Theme of the Week: "Domestic Shelter" — Global Squall, Domestic Shelter
📉 MARKET PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW
- FBMKLCI: Fell -2.6% WoW to close at 1,667.7 (slipping to -0.7% YTD).
- Foreign Funds: Resumed net selling with an outflow of -RM555mn (tracking a broader EM exit).
- Local Investors: Fully stepped up to absorb the dip! Local Retail bought +RM380mn and Local Institutions added +RM175mn in net buying.
- Sectors: Plantation was the sole gainer (+0.1% WoW). Industrial Products (-5.8% WoW) and Technology (-4.0% WoW) suffered the heaviest hits on global tech profit-taking.
📊 COMMODITIES & FOREX SNAPSHOT
- Brent Crude: Collapsed a further -10.6% WoW to USD71.99/bbl as the Iran ceasefire held and the Strait of Hormuz fully reopened. (Note: This is a massive fiscal relief for Malaysia, easing the national fuel-subsidy bill!)
- CPO: Eased -2.0% WoW to RM4,504/MT.
- Ringgit (USDMYR): Showed great resilience, strengthening -1.2% WoW to 4.09 despite the stronger greenback.
- Gold: Dropped -1.6% to USD4,088.74/Tr Oz.
🎯 STRATEGY & MARKET OUTLOOK
Because this sell-off is driven by offshore factors rather than local fundamentals, we see this correction as an accumulation opportunity. We shift our focus entirely toward a Domestic Shelter theme—favoring domestic-facing, cash-generative companies protected from external shocks.
🔥 TOP 5 WATCHLIST FOR THE WEEK
1. 🛢Hibiscus Petroleum (BUY; TP: RM2.80)
- Our View: Solid balance sheet; current valuations already discount the softer crude environment.
2. 🏢Sunway Construction (BUY; TP: RM8.28)
- Our View: A pure domestic-demand play insulated from global equity shocks with a powerful data-centre order book.
3. 🌐 Telekom Malaysia (BUY; TP: RM7.78)
- Our View: Highly defensive, recurring cash flows backed by structural hyperscaler data-centre connectivity demand.
4. ⚡️ Tenaga Nasional (BUY; TP: RM16.77)
- Our View: Strong defensive yield paired with structural growth from the surge in data-centre power consumption.
5. ⚓️ Velesto Energy (HOLD; TP: RM0.32)
- Our View: Steady domestic oil-services exposure providing a comfortable dividend yield cushion.
Prepared for investor reference only. Please do your own assessment and risk mitigation or consult with your licensed dealer representative before making investment decisions.
Source: Condensed from BIMB Securities Research Strategy Report (29 June 2026). | 113 |
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| 10 | 📱 *BIMB SECURITIES RESEARCH: WEEKLY MARKET UPDATE* 📱
*Theme of the Week:* _"A Defensive Barbell" — Relief Rally Meets a Fragile Truce_
📉 *MARKET PERFORMANCE OVERVIEW*
- *FBMKLCI:* Surged *+1.7% WoW* to close at *1,712.0* (+1.9% YTD).
- *Foreign Funds:* Selling effectively dried up with a minor net outflow of just *-RM11mn* (a massive recovery from -RM658mn the previous week).
- *Local Institutions:* Remained the market's backbone, clocking *+RM318mn* in net buying.
- *Local Retail:* Turned net sellers at *-RM307mn* as investors locked in gains.
- *Sectors:* Technology dominated, leaping *+5.0% WoW* on the back of the North Asian AI wave. *Healthcare* was the biggest laggard, dropping *-4.8% WoW* on foreign profit-taking.
📊 *COMMODITIES & FOREX SNAPSHOT*
- *Brent Crude:* Slashed *-7.7% WoW* to *USD80.57/bbl* as the prospective reopening of the Strait of Hormuz unwound the geopolitical risk premium.
- *CPO:* Gained *+4.7% WoW* to *RM4,594/MT* on firm export demand.
- *Ringgit (USDMYR):* Depreciated *+1.9% WoW* to *4.14* as the US Dollar Index firmed.
- *Gold:* Eased *-1.5%* to *USD4,155.71/Tr Oz* as safe-haven demand cooled.
🎯 *STRATEGY & MARKET OUTLOOK*
While the near-term tone is constructive, the ceasefire remains fragile due to recent friction in Lebanon. To manage this, we adopt a Defensive Barbell Strategy:
1. *35% Allocation:* Energy-price insurance sleeve to hedge against any sudden Middle East flare-ups.
2. *65% Allocation:* Focused on domestic resilience, mega-infrastructure, and data-centre beneficiaries where earnings visibility is strongest.
🔥 *TOP 5 WATCHLIST FOR THE WEEK*
1. 🛢️ *Hibiscus Petroleum (BUY; TP: RM2.80)*
- Our View: Part of our energy insurance sleeve; provides a direct upstream hedge if the ceasefire unravels.
2. 🏗️ *Sunway Construction (BUY; TP: RM8.28)*
- Our View: Infrastructure anchor with a robust data-centre order book pipeline driving domestic growth.
3. 🌐 *Telekom Malaysia (BUY; TP: RM7.78)*
- Our View: Connective backbone play, directly benefiting from structural broadband and hyperscaler demand.
4. ⚡ *Tenaga Nasional (BUY; TP: RM16.77)*
- Our View: Secure defensive yield coupled with massive structural upside from surging data-centre power loads.
5. ⚓ *Velesto Energy (HOLD; TP: RM0.32)*
- Our View: Downside-managed oil services exposure offering a steady dividend-yield profile.
*Prepared for investor reference only. Please do your own assessment and risk mitigation or consult withc your licensed dealer representative before making investment decisions.*
*Source: Condensed from BIMB Securities Research Strategy Report (22 June 2026).* | 174 |
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| 19 | 📱 *BIMB SECURITIES: 2H26 EQUITY STRATEGY SUMMARY* 📱
"Strategic Resilience Amidst Global Geopolitical Friction"
Hi Investors! Here is the executive summary of the 2H26 outlook to help you navigate the current market landscape. 👇
📉 *MARKET OUTLOOK & STRATEGY*
The market is currently navigating a "catalyst void" and "ordered uncertainty" driven by Middle East tensions and global supply chain fragmentation.
- *Index Targets:* Year-end target for *FBMKLCI* is *1,760 points* (15.3x PER), and *14,582* points for *FBM Hijrah Shariah* (19.8x PER).
- *Key Economic Forecasts:* GDP is projected at *4.9%* , with OPR remaining steady at *2.75%* and USD/MYR averaging *3.95* .
- *Investment Theme:* Prioritize defensive income (Banking, Construction) and companies with high *operational alpha* that can translate project pipelines into actual revenue.
- *Currency View:* Ringgit appreciation is a "double-edged sword"—favoring domestic importers while creating translation headwinds for exporters.
📊 *SECTOR CALLS*
OVERWEIGHT (Buy)
- Banking
- Construction
- Healthcare
- Oil & Gas
- Plantation
- Property
- REIT
- Utilities
NEUTRAL (Hold/Watch)
- Automotive
- Consumer
- Industrial
- Rubber Glove
- Technology
- Telecommunication
- Transportation
🔥 *2H26 TOP PICKS*
These stocks are selected for their strong earnings visibility and resilience against global friction:
*1. MMHE (BUY; TP: RM0.94):* Strong orderbook for FSO conversion and fabrication.
*2. Mah Sing Group (BUY; TP: RM1.85):* Exposure to affordable housing and industrial land (JS-SEZ).
*3. Pharmaniaga (BUY; TP: RM2.00):* Transitioning to high-value pharma manufacturing (insulin/vaccines).
*4. Gamuda (BUY; TP: RM6.29):* Massive orderbook and expanding data centre exposure.
*5. Hibiscus Petroleum (BUY; TP: RM2.80):* Beneficiary of elevated Brent crude prices.
*6. MR DIY (BUY; TP: RM2.20):* Defensive value play in a selective consumer market.
*7. Hap Seng Plantations (BUY; TP: RM2.70):* Leveraged to firm CPO prices with a strong cash balance sheet.
*8. Sunway Construction (BUY; TP: RM8.28):* Preferred pure-play data centre beneficiary.
*9. Tenaga Nasional (BUY; TP: RM16.77):* Primary beneficiary of energy transition and DC power demand.
*10. IHH Healthcare (BUY; TP: RM10.16):* Quality earnings from higher revenue intensity and medical tourism.
💰 *BIMB UNIVERSE BEST DIVIDEND STOCKS (2H2026)*
1. VELESTO (Yield: 10%)
2. AL-SALAM REITS (Yield: 8%)
3. MBSB (Yield: 8%)
4. TIME (Yield: 6%)
5. ORKIM (Yield: 6%)
6. AME REITS (Yield: 6%)
7. AXIS REITS (Yield: 5%)
8. TM (Yield: 5%)
9. MISC (Yield: 5%)
10. HAPSENG (Yield: 5%)
🌱 *BIMB UNIVERSE TOP PICK ON ESG (BY RATING)*
1. MISC (Total Score: 4.56 ; Excellent)
2. PMETAL (Total Score: 4.55 ; Excellent)
3. HIBISCUS (Total Score: 4.45 ; Best)
4. VELESTO (Total Score: 4.45 ; Best)
5. GAMUDA (Total Score: 4.33 ; Best)
*Prepared for investor reference only. Please do your own assessment and risk mitigation or consult with your licensed dealer representative before making investment decisions.*
*Source: Condensed from BIMB Securities Research 2H26 EQUITY STRATEGY (15 June 2026).* | 244 |
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