Trade Insight

🔴AI Risk Beyond Unemployment Researchers mathematically concluded that artificial intelligence could lead to a tragedy worse than mass unemployment. The main risk is the gradual destruction of people’s ability to perform work well. Automation of basic tasks saves company budgets but also breaks the training pipeline for deep expertise. Within a generation, there may be no specialists left to oversee algorithmic errors and preserve intellectual independence

“The best traders don’t try to predict every move - they manage risk and execute their edge consistently. Your job isn’t to be right on every trade; it’s to follow your plan with discipline. In the long run, consistency beats certainty every time.” Mark Douglas

Michael Saylor, Bitcoin’s largest institutional holder, likely sold at the cycle bottom for the second cycle in a row. Save these indicators

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❌China Cuts U.S. Treasury Holdings China continues selling U.S. Treasuries. Its holdings fell to their lowest level since 2008. Over the year, China’s holdings dropped from $731.4 billion in June 2025 to $633.4 billion in June 2026. China once held the most U.S. government debt, reaching a record $1.13 trillion in February 2019. Japan took first place in June 2019 and remains the largest holder. China is now selling U.S. government debt and buying gold.

⚠️ Key Events This Week Inflation is back in focus this week, with CPI and PPI followed by fresh consumer spending data on Friday. 🔴 Wednesday

● OPEC Monthly Report ● July CPI Inflation data CPI is the main event of the week and could shift expectations around the Fed. OPEC’s report will give an updated view on the oil market.

🔴 Thursday

● July PPI Inflation data Another inflation read, this time tracking price pressures at the producer level.

🔴 Friday

● July Retail Sales ● August MI Consumer Sentiment Retail sales will show how consumer spending is holding up, while sentiment gives a read on how households view the economy.

Main focus: Wednesday’s CPI.

Success is a series of small wins."     Achieving significant success doesn’t happen overnight; it’s built on a foundation of small victories over time. Celebrate each successful trade, no matter how minor it may seem, as each one contributes to your overall growth and confidence as a trader

The market is a teacher; pay attention to its lessons."     Each market movement carries valuable lessons that can inform your future trades. Keep a journal of your trades and reflect on what the market teaches you about trends, patterns, and investor behavior.

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The bond vigilantes are back. US 30yr yields are at their highest level since 2007! Clearly the bond market wasn't impressed with that FOMC. Higher long dated yields = higher mortgage costs