DeFi & Crypto Trading — Uniswap

Gold and silver have gone down since the beginning of the year 😐 BTC: welcome to the club 😂

✅ Trump wants peace worldwide. But he also wants to strike hard at Iran today, whose army has been destroyed, yet the deal is still not signed 🤦‍♂️ Wednesday news: 🔸 Inflation in the US reached a three-year high of 4.2%, and the market now assesses the likelihood of an interest rate hike by the Fed by the end of the year at 60% 🔸 Reuters: Demand for SpaceX's IPO has exceeded supply by four times 🔸 Sam Altman stated that OpenAI plans to go public next year and has filed for an IPO in case it wants to do it sooner 🤷‍♂️ 🔸 Chainlink became the official oracle provider for the prediction markets of the 2026 FIFA World Cup 🔸 TSMC's sales in May grew by 30.1% year-over-year to ~$13.2 billion due to sustained demand for AI chips 🔸 OpenAI and Nvidia will build a 10-GW AI data center in Ohio, investing over $500 billion 🔸 CME Group launched futures on the Nasdaq CME Crypto Index, tracking BTC, BCH, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA, LINK, and XLM 🔸 Super Micro Computer -18% after announcing a secondary offering of $7 billion to fulfill orders for AI servers worth $39 billion 🔸 Amazon released the Graviton5 chip and secured a $17.5 billion loan from Citibank, JPMorgan, and other banks 🔸 The prediction market Kalshi introduced employment verification for users for high-risk predictions related to insider trading 🔸 The US government wallet with assets confiscated from FTX transferred 98,590 LINK worth $768k to Coinbase Prime – possible preparation for a sale 👀 🔸 Shares of Fold rose +80% after selling BTC worth $45 million: $20 million went to debt repayment, the rest for business development 🔷 Exchange rates: 🌐 Bitcoin – $62,070 (↑1.29%) 📉 S&P 500 – 7,316 (↓0.95%) 🇷🇺 USD/RUB – 72.25 (↑0.39%) 🇺🇦 USD/UAH – 45.07 (↑0.38%) 🌕 Gold – $4,120 (↓3.28%) ⚫️ Oil Brent – $94.01 (↑1.80%)

Seven days that will determine the fate of Bitcoin 🍿 🩸 Yesterday, in just three hours, the S&P 500 wiped out about $2 trillion in market capitalization, and a rare bearish signal appeared on the monthly BTC chart. Ahead is a week that will determine the trend for the rest of the year.

The reason for this movement is three events: 1️⃣ Inflation data in the U.S. that disrupts Trump's plans for cheap money 2️⃣ SpaceX IPO, where Musk is drawing all the dollar liquidity to himself 3️⃣ The first FOMC meeting under Kevin Warsh's leadership, where the future of the money printer will be decided

We have put together this entire macroeconomic puzzle into one scenario and explained why the change in the head of the Fed promises strong declines for the markets, whether to believe in a local bounce of BTC to $70k, and at what levels smart money has already set buckets for global BTC accumulation. 👇 The analysis is already on the channel: 📷 https://youtu.be/xnxZjCv8m7Q

Expecting BTC to Rise, but It Will Be Painful Ahead – Predictions from Ru-influs 🕯 ▪️ Pifagor trade (109k) 🟢 Prediction for 22 hours: initially expects a bounce for BTC to $66k, and then to $70k-$71k, but the global bottom has not yet formed. In September to December, a drop to $36k-$44k is possible until the price consolidates above the key trend line. ▪️ Super Margin (148k) 🔴 Prediction for 2 days: extreme fear allows for gradual position accumulation, but the final drop is still ahead. The author expects the bottom in the range of $53,700-$49,000 in the second half of summer or early autumn, after which BTC may rise above $100k. ▪️ BITCOIN Adept (72k) 🟡 Prediction for 2 days: considers June to August an investment window for gradually accumulating spot after a 30% drop in BTC from its highs. A full reversal is expected no earlier than August-September, and until a signal appears, continues to take quick shorts. ▪️ a01k.Crypto (20.3k) 🟡 Prediction for 4 days: the $60k-$63k zone has become a signal to start buying via DCA (Dollar-Cost Averaging). The author considers a drop below $50k unlikely and is ready to aggressively buy such a squeeze, while among altcoins, a drop of SOL down to $50 is possible. ▪️ HAMAHA (145k) 🔴 Prediction for 6 days: expects BTC to drop below $50k with a possible move to $40k, ETH to $1,200-$1,500, and most altcoins to new lows. The main trigger is a correction in funds by 15-20%, which could trigger a cascade of liquidations in crypto. Who else is catching the BTC bounce, let's put 🐳 #influs

**Ukrainian hryvnia tests 45 UAH per $1 for the first time** 🤑

Crypto, beware – Claude Fable 5 has arrived 🤖 Anthropic has stirred things up by opening access to Claude Fable 5 – the company's most powerful public model. The price reflects this: $10 for 1 million incoming tokens and $50 for 1 million outgoing tokens – twice as expensive as Opus 4.8.

The problem is that such models significantly simplify the search for vulnerabilities and make cyberattacks cheaper. This is particularly troubling for crypto and DeFi: auditing smart contracts becomes faster, but attackers also gain the same tools.

Therefore, Fable 5 has been released with strict limitations: queries related to cybersecurity and attempts to replicate the model will be redirected to the less powerful Claude Opus 4.8. Now is the time to strengthen your defenses, especially if you are working with DeFi: revoke unnecessary permissions, distribute assets across different addresses, and avoid keeping all funds in a single hot wallet. 🛡 #technology

Another escalation in the Middle East: the USA and Iran exchanged retaliatory strikes in response to previous attacks. All classic: the strikes did not violate the ceasefire, negotiations are going well, and a deal is expected in two weeks. With such developments, American investors are reacting to geopolitics with increasing calm, while the Korean KOSPI has dropped by 7% 💅 Today's inflation report in the USA will set the tone for the entire market: after the last report, the index fell by 27.74%. A CPI above 4% will strengthen expectations for an interest rate hike and may confirm a bearish scenario with a brief technical rebound 📊 Scenarios: 🔼 Audiera (BEAT) gained +44% today and +322% for the week. Another trap from Binance Alpha: first, they will wipe out all shorts, then sharply cut longs, as already happened with SIREN, MYX, and RAVE. 👍 HYPE lost 12% in one day and is breaking the neckline of the "head and shoulders" pattern. If the 4H closes below, the target for the move will be $40. However, the...

✅ Markets are red again: BTC is below $62k, the S&P 500 is down 1.3%, and gold has lost 1.5%. Analysts believe that investors are spooked by tomorrow's inflation data in the U.S. 😱 Tuesday's news: 🔸 OpenAI has filed for an IPO in the U.S. and is aiming for a valuation of up to $1 trillion. 🔸 Reuters: Trump and his sons made $2.3 billion from crypto projects, while investors in their projects suffered similar losses. 👀 🔸 The State Duma of the Russian Federation has approved a bill on cryptocurrency taxation in its first reading. 🔸 Bloomberg: The SpaceX IPO book is already significantly oversubscribed, and the application period will close on June 10. 🔸 Circle has launched cirBTC, a wrapped Bitcoin on Ethereum – a new competitor to WBTC and cbBTC. 🔸 Apple has introduced Siri AI, with an English test version expected to be released by the end of the year. 🔸 Inflation in Ukraine slowed down to 8.2% in May. 🔸 BlackRock, amid the SpaceX hype, has launched the STAR ETF, which tracks a basket of stocks in the space sector. 🔸 Investment firms Apollo and Blackstone will finance Anthropic's capacity expansion by $35 billion. 🔸 The market capitalization of tokenized equities has grown to $5.5 billion amid the SpaceX IPO and the expansion of trading on crypto exchanges. 🔸 The community of The Open Network has agreed to rename TON to GRAM – the rebranding will take effect on June 15. 💎 🔸 Humanity Protocol has fallen by 90% after releasing and dumping 100 million H tokens worth approximately $11.4 million: the community suspects a Pump & Dump scheme. 🔷 Exchange rates: 🌐 Bitcoin – $61,697 (↓2.98%) 📉 S&P 500 – 7,308 (↓1.31%) 🇷🇺 USD/RUB – 71.97 (↓1.36%) 🇺🇦 USD/UAH – 44.90 (↑0.69%) 🌕 Gold – $4,264 (↓1.53%) ⚫️ Oil Brent – $91.10 (↓3.21%)

How to Trade on Polymarket with Lower Risk 💡 The topic of prediction markets has gathered enough of your reactions, so here is the promised analysis: On Polymarket, you can earn not only by choosing an outcome but also by exploiting price discrepancies, spreads, and liquidity. These approaches are called delta-neutral: the trader attempts to set up a position such that the profit from one side compensates for the loss from the other, although this scheme does not become completely risk-free. 1⃣ Buying YES and NO for less than $1

Each binary question has two opposing contracts: YES and NO. For example: "Will Argentina win the World Cup?". After the event concludes, each winning contract pays out $1, while the losing one pays out $0. This means 100 winning contracts yield a payout of $100. However, the prices for YES and NO sometimes may not add up to exactly $1. Reasons include the spread between buying and selling, low liquidity, and different depths of orders. This difference is what you need to "cap

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Altseason in the Second-Hand Market 💹 A loss-making company selling used phones skyrocketed by +3,994% in a single day, simply by announcing the purchase of an AI assistant for $3 million. This inexpensive deal inflated the company's market capitalization by $95 million, despite a quarterly revenue of only $931k. The dot-coms are nervously smoking on the sidelines 😳

1,000-Day Strategy – Making Xs on BTC 💵 Essence: Buy BTC 500 days before the halving and sell 500 days after. The scheme has already worked three times: 🟢 2015-2017: +3,299%, followed by a 51% drop 🟢 2018-2021: +1,044%, then a decline of 62% 🟢 2022-2025: +560%, followed by a decrease of ~43%

The next buying zone opens in about 175 days, which means: 🔠 buying – from the beginning of December 2026 🔠 selling – until the end of August 2029

Easy money: bought → waited → sold → repeated. Do you think it will work this time or are the cycles broken? 🐳 – yes, we buy, wait for the Xs 😈 – no, Trump broke everything

The Humanity Protocol collapsed by 90% after the release of 100 million H at approximately $11.4 million and their subsequent sale. The team claims there was a key theft, but the community suspects a self-hack and Pump & Dump scheme. Sahara AI then lost 64% following large transfers to Upbit. The market suspects insider selling ahead of the unlocking of over 1 billion SAHARA. Tomorrow, inflation data for the U.S. will be released: the forecast is an increase to 4.2%. The market is prepared for such a price increase, but anything higher could create new problems for stocks and cryptocurrencies. Scenarios: 🪙 BTC has followed our plan from yesterday and tested $64.2k. Currently, the RSI is above 50, but the MACD on the 1H chart is still weak – we are likely to see volatility on Wednesday with the inflation data or on Friday with the SpaceX IPO. ⚪️ ETH is currently holding at $1,630, with a chance for a retest of $1,700-$1,721; a breakout above $1,721 would indicate further growth. Events:

▪️ The order

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✅ Gold has fallen below the 200 DMA for the first time since September 2023: geopolitical swings are hitting even the safe-haven asset 😳 Monday's news: 🔸 The South Korean KOSPI index plummeted by 8% in a single day, with trading temporarily halted at one point. 🔸 The Pentagon identified Alibaba, Baidu, and BYD as companies working for the Chinese military. 🔸 Cerebras shares rose by 22% after Wall Street initiated coverage of the stock 🤑 🔸 Strategy returned to buying Bitcoin, adding 1,550 BTC to its balance, while Bitmine acquired 126,971 ETH over the past week. 🔸 Jensen Huang advises to buy the recently discounted shares of semiconductor manufacturers: “We are at the beginning of the AI revolution.” 🔸 OpenAI is preparing the largest update for ChatGPT, transforming it into a super app with AI agents and Codex. 🔸 Intel shares rose by 10% after receiving an order from Google for 3 million chips by 2028. 🔸 FTT rose by 80% on news that Kucheravy Sam submitted a pardon request to Trump 👮 🔸 MetaMask introduced Agent Wallet – a non-custodial wallet for autonomous trading of AI agents on Ethereum, EVM networks, and Hyperliquid. 🔷 Rates: 🌐 Bitcoin – $63,332 (↑1.78%) 📉 S&P 500 – 7,425 (↑0.57%) 🇷🇺 USD/RUB – 72.79 (↓0.98%) 🇺🇦 USD/UAH – 44.60 (↑0.52%) 🌕 Gold – $4,332 (↑0.11%) ⚫️ Oil Brent – $94.28 (↑1.61%)

**Dump & Pump by Saylor** 📊 The Strategy report is out: instead of sales, Michael simply re-purchased BTC for another $101 million and increased the safety cushion to $1 billion for dividend payments in the coming months. **The scheme:** 🟢 sold 32 BTC at $73k ↗️ 🟢 caused panic ↗️ 🟢 BTC dropped ↗️ 🟢 bought 1,550 BTC at $65k Genius 👏

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**Not Just IPOs – Money is Also Flowing in Football** ⚽️ The 2026 World Cup in the USA, Canada, and Mexico will be the largest in history: 48 teams, 104 matches over 39 days. FIFA expects to **earn** more than $13 billion compared to $7.57 billion in the last cycle: 🟠 $4.3 billion – broadcasting rights 🟠 $2.8 billion – sponsors 🟠 ~$3 billion – tickets and VIP packages Brands themselves will spend even more: Visa, Coca-Cola, McDonald’s, Bank of America, and others usually invest 2-5 times more in advertising and promotional campaigns than the cost of sponsorship rights. > As a result, the event will add about $17.2 billion to the US GDP and up to $40.9 billion to the global GDP. *Imagine the colossal volumes that will flood the prediction markets during the World Cup, including on Polymarket and Kalshi. Crypto traders there do not just place bets; they work with price discrepancies and delta-neutral strategies. Want a separate analysis of how this works and what risks to consider? Let us know!* 🔥

**Market Peak: Retail Investors in SpaceX, Smart Money in Bonds** 💵 Indices are rising despite a decline in household incomes. Against this backdrop, the hurried entry of tech giants into the stock market seems like an attempt to "cash out" while valuations remain at their peak. **But SpaceX is not going public alone:** OpenAI, Anthropic, and the rest of BigTech are also vying for the same capital, already vacuuming up the market in the race for AI: 🟢 Meta has attracted about $25 billion through bonds and is now considering issuing new shares. 🟢 Alphabet issued bonds worth $31.5 billion, including a rare 100-year bond, and then raised an additional $84.75 billion through stocks. 🟢 Amazon raised tens of billions for AI infrastructure, while Oracle plans to borrow up to $50 billion. **As a result, investors are developing two completely different strategies:** ➡️ **Speculative:** Betting on catching demand for SpaceX and the recently discounted BigTech. However, the large volume of new stock issuanc...

Despite the nighttime geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, the White House clearly isn't interested in a hard escalation ahead of the World Cup – and this gives hope for maintaining current price ranges 🤞 Today, the markets will be watching the evening shareholder meeting at Strategy: if Saylor does not confirm the company's balance sheet resilience against its losses, we may face a new wave of capitulation 👀 Scenarios: 🪙 BTC has completely removed our first global bearish target of $59k-$60k. Currently, the bullish MACD crossover and strong RSI on the 4H chart might push the price to retest $64.2k, but without breaking $66k, this is just a technical retest. 🔐 Following the news that the researcher who found a bug in Zcash will now audit Monero using AI, XMR dropped by 10%: if support at $276 is broken, the decline will continue, while a local bounce is currently limited to the $332 level. Events:

▪️ 2-year yields in the U.S. rose to their highest level since Trump's second term: the Fed is hinting

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The South Korean KOSPI Index plummeted 8% at the opening of trading – trading was temporarily suspended 👀 Over the last two trading days, the KOSPI has fallen by 11.49%, initially reacting to Friday's sell-off in the U.S. Today, the market was assessing the exchange of missile strikes between Iran and Israel on Sunday. Trump performed the best: first, he prohibited Israel from retaliating, and after the strike, he stated that he would soon end the conflict with a great deal, to which Israel would have to agree 😁

✅ BTC lost 15% over the week: all hopes of the crypto market that this time it was definitely the bottom 😇 An eventful week ahead: inflation in the US on Wednesday and SpaceX IPO on Friday. Preparing for continued volatility. Weekly Digest: 💎 Cryptocurrencies 🔸 Strategy sold 32 BTC – the first sale since December 2022 🔸 Durov announced the rebranding of Toncoin to Gram – the original name of the coin from the white paper 🔸 Zcash dropped by 50% on news of a critical vulnerability allowing hidden coin emission ☠️ 🔸 Tether launches the first crypto card backed by gold, turning digital gold into a tool for real payments 🔸 The Cardano ecosystem is collapsing: a key project, a data aggregator for DeFi, TapTools announced its closure 🏦 Cryptocurrency Exchanges 🔸 Binance launched trading of over 7,000 US stocks and ETFs for non-US residents 🔸 Robinhood completed the acquisition of WonderFi for $180 million and entered the Canadian crypto market 🔸 The prediction market Kalshi launched perpetual contracts on BTC 🔸 Kraken will open access to tokenized IPOs of American companies at the offering price through xStocks starting June 3 🪙 Financial News 🔸 SpaceX's IPO has already received more orders than the planned stock sales of $75 billion 🔸 Anthropic submitted a confidential application for IPO 🔸 SoftBank became the most expensive company in Japan, dethroning Toyota 🔸 Berkshire Hathaway is investing $10 billion in Google, increasing its bet on AI 🔸 Vanguard S&P 500 ETF became the first exchange-traded fund with assets under management exceeding $1 trillion 🔸 Big tech stocks of Broadcom fell 14% after a good report, but investors were looking for perfect results ⚖️ Regulation 🔸 The US Treasury confiscated $1 billion in cryptocurrency from Iran 🔸 The US imposed sanctions against the largest Iranian cryptocurrency exchange Nobitex and three other local platforms – Bitpin, Ramzinex, and Wallex ⚙️ Technology 🔸 Anthropic called for slowing down the development of AI, stating that self-reproducing models could create threats to humanity within 1-2 years 🔸 Nvidia is entering the PC market with a new ARM chip for AI laptops, stepping into Intel, AMD, and Qualcomm's territory 🔸 Microsoft introduced the new Majorana 2 quantum chip, which is 1,000 times more reliable than the previous version 🔷 Rates: 🌐 Bitcoin – $62,031 (↑2.11%) 📉 S&P 500 – 7,383 (↓2.64%) 🇷🇺 USD/RUB – 73.70 (↑0.43%) 🇺🇦 USD/UAH – 44.36 (↑0.03%) 🌕 Gold – $4,327 (↓3.29%) ⚫️ Oil Brent – $92.79 (↓2.68%)