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إظهار المزيد567
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| 2 | ENA/USDT — SHORT LIMIT
Entry: 0.2069
Stop Loss: 0.2112 (-2.04%)
Take Profits: 0.1839 (+11.09%)
• Risk maximum 1-3% per trade | 33 |
| 3 | $ENA — SHORT CANCELLED, no M5 confirmation
Wanted: rejection candle in 0.2074–0.2100 to short.
What happened: price pushed straight through without rejecting. No fill, no position, no result to report.
Not chasing it from here. Watching for the next setup. | 32 |
| 4 | $ENA — falling with $BTC, short the bounce
Dropped hard in step with $BTC — 0.2195 to 0.2020, breaking both VAL 09/22 and VAL 09/23, tagging near POC 09/20 (0.2000) before bouncing to 0.2062. Long lower wick on the last candle — real buying interest at 0.2020–0.2000.
Bias: down. Every value level sits above current price.
🔴 Short the bounce
Entry: 0.2074–0.2100 (VAL 09/23 + VAL 09/22, now resistance)
SL: above 0.2123 (POC 09/23)
TP: 0.1840
Risk: 1–3% max
Needs M5 rejection at the level. No confirmation, no entry. | 33 |
| 5 | $BTC — trend broken, waiting for the bounce to short
Context has changed. Lost VAL 09/23, lost the 85,400 zone, fell to 84,000. On H1, this is a clear lower low — the recent higher low from the 21st (~84,200) is now broken. The bigger uptrend is broken, exactly the red scenario flagged yesterday.
Last candle put in a long lower wick (84,000 → bounce to 84,475) — some buying at the low, but it's one candle, not a trend change.
Measuring the drop 87,200 → 84,000 (3,200 points):
38% → 85,216
50% → 85,600 (the old support, now resistance)
62% → 85,984
Reasonable short zone is 85,200–85,600, not higher.
🔴 Short the bounce
Entry: 85,200–85,600, M5 rejection
SL: above 85,750
TP1: 84,000, then VAL 09/22 (83,750)
Risk: 1–3% max
R:R ≈ 1 : 2 near the top of the zone to 1 : 10+ near the bottom — better fills lower in the zone
⚪️ Right now: just dropped 3,200 points with a long lower wick. Too volatile to chase either the short or the bounce. Not buying the dip.
🟢 Long — only if price reclaims and holds above 85,600 with clear confirmation. Not before. | 32 |
| 6 | $BTC — SHORT SETUP CANCELLED (no entry, no loss)
Wanted: bounce into 86,255–86,460 (POC 09/23 zone) to short.
What happened: price never came back for it. It dropped straight through, all the way to 84,250, then bounced. Now 85,978.
No fill, no position, no result to report.
This is the cost of waiting for your level — sometimes you miss the move entirely. We take that trade every time over chasing a falling market.
Not chasing the bounce up here either. Watching for the next setup. | 32 |
| 7 | $BTC — dropped fast to the day's low, waiting for the bounce
Price kept falling — now 85,723, through POC 09/22 (85,824) and sitting right at VAL 09/23 (85,728). Much faster than the last 20 minutes suggested.
Measuring the drop from 87,200 to 85,723 (~1,477 points):
38% retrace → 86,285 (~POC 09/23, 86,255)
50% retrace → 86,460
62% retrace → 86,640 (~VAH 09/23, 86,582)
Best zone to short a bounce is 86,255–86,460 — POC 09/23 is the first real resistance after losing it, which is usually the strongest.
But right now: do nothing. Price is at VAL after a straight-down drop — the easiest spot to get bounced out of a short. Three ways this goes: VAL holds and bounces (gives us the short zone), VAL breaks (down further, but already too extended to chase), or it just chops here (nothing to trade).
Alert: 86,255 (POC 09/23) — if it gets there, wait for an M5 rejection, then short. Stop above 86,400. Target 85,728, then 85,400.
Alert: 85,700 — VAL lost, re-assess. | 33 |
| 8 | $BTC — failed breakout, waiting for the bounce to short
Session opened with a spike to 87,200, above VAH 09/22 (86,937), then reversed hard — long red candles straight down. Lost VAH 09/23 (86,582), lost VWAP (86,578), now sitting at POC 09/23 (86,255).
That spike was a failed breakout: pushed above yesterday's value, couldn't hold it.
Levels to watch:
VAH 09/22 — 86,937 (resistance)
VAH 09/23 + VWAP — 86,578 (nearest resistance)
POC 09/23 — 86,255 (current)
POC 09/22 — 85,824 (next support)
VAL 09/23 — 85,728 (deeper support)
🔴 Short (with the current move)
Entry: 86,550–86,600 (VAH 09/23 + VWAP confluence), on M5 rejection
SL: above 86,680
TP: 85,824 (POC 09/22)
Risk: 1–3% max
R:R ≈ 1 : 5–6 depending on fill
🟢 Long — only if price holds POC and reclaims VWAP 86,578 with confirmation. Not before.
Right now: sitting at POC after a long drop. Not chasing the short here, not buying the dip either. Waiting. | 28 |
| 9 | NASDAQ — filled, and already up 1R.
Got a good fill at 31,032, slightly better than planned. Price is holding above the level. | 24 |
| 10 | NASDAQ — short plan cancelled, no M5 confirmation
Cancelled: short at 31,030–31,040 / SL above 31,055 / TP1 30,940. Was waiting for a rejection candle at that level. Never came — price reclaimed VAH + VWAP and held instead. No entry, no loss.
Flipping to the long side, same zone:
Entry: 31,035–31,040 (VAH 09/22 + VWAP retest)
SL: 31,010
TP1: 31,067 — take half
Rest: trail under higher lows
Risk: 1–3% max
R:R to TP1 ≈ 1 : 1.5, edge is in the trail
Needs a 30m candle close holding above VAH. Close back below = invalid. | 29 |
| 11 | NASDAQ — short plan cancelled, no M5 confirmation
Cancelled: short at 31,030–31,040 / SL above 31,055 / TP1 30,940. Was waiting for a rejection candle at that level. Never came — price reclaimed VAH + VWAP and held instead. No entry, no loss.
Flipping to the long side, same zone:
Entry: 31,035–31,040 (VAH 09/22 + VWAP retest)
SL: 31,010
TP1: 31,067 — take half
Rest: trail under higher lows
Risk: 1–3% max
R:R to TP1 ≈ 1 : 1, edge is in the trail
Needs a 30m candle close holding above VAH. Close back below = invalid. | 1 |
| 12 | $ONDO — long update
Entry: 0.4405
High: 0.4462 (3R)
Now: 0.4448 (~2.3R)
Why: cleared VAH 09/23 (~0.4406) and held above it. POC 09/22 (~0.4508) is the next level up.
If your stop is still at 0.4386, this is a good spot to consider trailing it. | 32 |
| 13 | NASDAQ — short-term correction, short the retest
All day trend was up: 30,840 → ~31,067. Since 3pm, price has chopped 31,000–31,067 then drifted lower for hours — lower highs, lower lows, lost VWAP, lost VAH 09/22 (~31,031). Now 30,999.50, sitting under the −2σ band.
Short-term sellers in control. Big-picture uptrend still intact, just correcting.
Worth flagging: there's a large air pocket below — from 30,994 down to POC 09/22 (~30,940), almost no structure. If 30,990 breaks, price can move there fast.
🔴 Bounce into resistance
Entry: 31,030–31,040 (VAH 09/22 + VWAP, now resistance), M5 rejection
SL: above 31,055
TP: 30,940 (POC 09/22)
Risk: 1–3% max
R:R ≈ 1 : 4.75
⚪️ Reclaims 31,031 and holds
Short idea off. Back to looking for trend-following longs.
🟢 Pulls back to 30,935–30,940 (POC 09/22)
Trend-following long zone. Needs confirmation.
Not chasing the low here. Waiting for the bounce. | 31 |
| 14 | $ONDO — long, +1R
Entry: 0.4405
Now: 0.4432 (+1.08R)
Why: broke above VAH 09/23 (~0.4412) and the afternoon range high, holding above VWAP (~0.4397).
At 1R, worth considering a move to breakeven. | 27 |
| 15 | ONDO/USDT — LONG NOW
Entry: 0.4405
Stop Loss: 0.4380 (-0.45%)
Take Profits: 0.4595 (+4.24%)
• Risk maximum 1-3% per trade | 29 |
| 16 | $ETHFI — pulled back to breakeven, held, and flew again.
After the first push, price came back down and tested my entry level a few times. It held. Now 0.7272 — close to 3R.
Entry: 0.7115
Original stop: 0.7060
That pullback to breakeven is exactly why moving your stop matters. Worst case stayed a scratch the whole way through. | 31 |
| 17 | $ETHFI — long tagged ~2R
Entry: 0.7115
Risk: 1–3% max
Reclaimed VAH 09/23 (0.7115) as planned and pushed toward ~2R. Not the exact print, but that's the ballpark.
Stop unchanged for now. | 22 |
| 18 | $ETHFI — broke today's range, now at yesterday's floor
Price bounced sharply from ~0.678 to 0.7146. Broke above VAH 09/23 (~0.7115) — today's value exceeded. Now stalling right under VAL 09/22 (~0.7185), the bottom of yesterday's range, now resistance.
Structure: higher lows from 0.678, and the latest push is steep — short-term momentum is up. But zoomed out, price fell from 0.72 to 0.678 over two days before this bounce, so this could just be a relief bounce in a downtrend, not a reversal yet.
🟢 Reclaim + hold 0.706 (VAH 09/23, now support), M5 confirmation
Entry: 0.707
SL: below 0.7060
TP: 0.7363 (POC 09/22)
Risk: 1–3% max
❌ Close below 0.7060 = failed breakout, stand aside.
Mid-move right now. Not chasing. | 26 |
| 19 | $ETHFI — broke today's range, now at yesterday's floor
Price bounced sharply from ~0.678 to 0.7146. Broke above VAH 09/23 (~0.7115) — today's value exceeded. Now stalling right under VAL 09/22 (~0.7185), the bottom of yesterday's range, now resistance.
Structure: higher lows from 0.678, and the latest push is steep — short-term momentum is up. But zoomed out, price fell from 0.72 to 0.678 over two days before this bounce, so this could just be a relief bounce in a downtrend, not a reversal yet.
🟢 Reclaim + hold 0.7115 (VAH 09/23, now support), M5 confirmation
Entry: 0.7115
SL: below 0.7060
TP: 0.7375 (POC 09/22)
Risk: 1–3% max
❌ Close below 0.7060 = failed breakout, stand aside.
Mid-move right now. Not chasing. | 1 |
| 20 | NASDAQ — TP1 HIT (+2.0R)
Entry: 30,892.75
SL: 30,840.00 (original)
TP1: 31,000 — hit ✅
TP2: 31,210 (6R from entry)
Now: 31,021.50 (2.44R)
The retest of VWAP + VAH 09/21 held exactly as planned, and price took out the morning high.
Trailing the stop under the higher lows on the remainder, per the plan. Not calling a top — letting the trend decide the exit. | 26 |
