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Moonbags Markets

Moonbags Markets

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This channel is for my own personal thoughts only. Not financial advice. I take no responsibility for anyone's losses or gains. This channel will be forever free and I take no donations. Thank you. https://twitter.com/lordmoonbags

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Glossary: Might want to save this for future reference to understand my reports. Below are some important statistics when analyzing my direction bias Daily Uptrend Days Median = 17 Daily Uptrend Days Average = 26.39 Daily Uptrend Days High = 100 Daily Uptrend Days Low = 1 Daily Downtrend Days Median = 16 Daily Downtrend Days Average = 21 Daily Downtrend Days High = 85 Daily Downtrend Days Low = 1 =========================================== Weekly Uptrend Weeks Median = 20 Weekly Uptrend Weeks Average = 25.86 Weekly Uptrend Weeks High = 62 Weekly Uptrend Weeks Low = 8 Weekly Downtrend Weeks Median = 15.5 Weekly Downtrend Weeks Average = 21.85 Weekly Downtrend Weeks High = 55 Weekly Downtrend Weeks Low =7 I will sometimes write continuous or reversal next to the trend. Continuous means the trend is continuing ie price continuing to go up in an uptrend. Reversal means the trend has potentially put in a reversal ie price was going down but is suddenly going up. More often than not, this will be continuous but there are some times where price goes into reversal which means that the current trade put on should be on high alert for failure. Usually, this means reduce your position size or put on some hedges in case of a full trend change. As markets are unpredictable, there is never 100% chance of success in a trade nor in predicting the direction that prices are going, always do your own risk management.

To my subscribers: Thank you for having subscribed to this channel. I have decided to start over and move in a new direction. Here is an overview on the things I will be changing: 1) The entire channel history will be cleared for aesthetic reasons. I have all my postings saved on my hard drive and archived. For those interested in seeing this, PM me. 2) There will no longer be any random postings ie forwards from twitter, other telegrams, news, etc in the main telegram channel interface. This was cluttering up this place and was making it difficult to follow along. You can get news in a million other places and faster than me anyway but I will explain further later. 3) I will going forward, only provide my directional bias on the channel. I will have "Focus posts" which will be short, succinct, straight to the point, and will be pinned every time. Examples: Bias: Bullish/Bearish BTC, Bullish/Bearish Alts, bullish/bearish memes Timeframe: Daily/Weekly Actions: Long BTC/ Long ETH/ Long SOL/ Short BTC/ Short ETH/ Short SOL Status: Active/ Inactive It will not be limited to this format, there will be times where I make a fully fleshed out post, whenever I feel like it. I think this way would be the best way to delineate myself from the hundreds of calls channels out there who are flip flopping on a day to day basis without any accountability 4) I will open up comments on my posts for further discussion. I feel this will allow me to get better feedback on my trading/posting and allow me to interact with my subscribers in a more constructive manner. I will likely forward related news, charts and other info in the comments of active posts. I expect criticism when I am wrong so do not be shy in letting me know how I fucked up a call or how you made money from it. All feedback is appreciated. 5) There will likely be much fewer pings as my posts will be more consolidated in nature. 6) Less memery in general, although I will accept it in the comments lol 7) I will continue reviewing and updating this channel occasionally until I feel it is a valuable resource both to myself and others Thanks for subbing and hope you will get more use out of this place in the future

Testing

To my subscribers: Thank you for having subscribed to this channel. I have decided to start over and move in a new direction. Here is an overview on the things I will be changing: 1) The entire channel history will be cleared for aesthetic reasons. I have all my postings saved on my hard drive and archived. For those interested in seeing this, PM me. 2) There will no longer be any random postings ie forwards from twitter, other telegrams, news, etc in the main telegram channel interface. This was cluttering up this place and was making it difficult to follow along. You can get news in a million other places and faster than me anyway but I will explain further later. 3) I will going forward, only provide my directional bias on the channel. I will have "Focus posts" which will be short, succinct, straight to the point, and will be pinned every time. Examples: Bias: Bullish/Bearish BTC, Bullish/Bearish Alts, bullish/bearish memes Timeframe: Daily/Weekly Actions: Long BTC/ Long ETH/ Long SOL/ Short BTC/ Short ETH/ Short SOL Status: Active/ Inactive It will not be limited to this format, there will be times where I make a fully fleshed out post, whenever I feel like it. I think this way would be the best way to delineate myself from the hundreds of calls channels out there who are flip flopping on a day to day basis without any accountability 4) I will open up comments on my posts for further discussion. I feel this will allow me to get better feedback on my trading/posting and allow me to interact with my subscribers in a more constructive manner. I will likely forward related news, charts and other info in the comments of active posts. I expect criticism when I am wrong so do not be shy in letting me know how I fucked up a call or how you made money from it. All feedback is appreciated. 5) There will likely be much fewer pings as my posts will be more consolidated in nature. 6) Less memery in general, although I will accept it in the comments lol 7) I will continue reviewing and updating this channel occasionally until I feel it is a valuable resource both to myself and others Thanks for subbing and hope you will get more use out of this place in the future

To my subscribers: Thank you for having subscribed to this channel. I have decided to start over and move in a new direction. Here is an overview on the things I will be changing: 1) The entire channel history will be cleared for aesthetic reasons. I have all my postings saved on my hard drive and archived. For those interested in seeing this, PM me. Everything in here will be deleted in 24 hours. 2) There will no longer be any random postings ie forwards from twitter, other telegrams, news, etc in the main telegram channel interface. This was cluttering up this place and was making it difficult to follow along. You can get news in a million other places and faster than me anyway but I will explain further later. 3) I will going forward, only provide my directional bias on the channel. I will have "Focus posts" which will be short, succinct, straight to the point, and will be pinned every time. Examples: Bias: Bullish/Bearish BTC, Bullish/Bearish Alts, bullish/bearish memes Timeframe: Daily/Weekly Actions: Long BTC/ Long ETH/ Long SOL/ Short BTC/ Short ETH/ Short SOL Status: Active/ Inactive It will not be limited to this format, there will be times where I make a fully fleshed out post, whenever I feel like it. I think this way would be the best way to delineate myself from the hundreds of calls channels out there who are flip flopping on a day to day basis without any accountability 4) I will open up comments on my posts for further discussion. I feel this will allow me to get better feedback on my trading/posting and allow me to interact with my subscribers in a more constructive manner. I will likely forward related news, charts and other info in the comments of active posts. I expect criticism when I am wrong so do not be shy in letting me know how I fucked up a call or how you made money from it. All feedback is appreciated. 5) There will likely be much fewer pings as my posts will be more consolidated in nature. 6) Less memery in general, although I will accept it in the comments lol 7) I will continue reviewing and updating this channel occasionally until I feel it is a valuable resource both to myself and others Thanks for subbing and hope you will get more use out of this place in the future

All above are high levels signs of pricing in a Trump victory by the biggest money

This is especially true if there are heavy tariffs coming which the market view as inflationary

I think the market expects inflation coming

10 year yield has been falling lately, despite impending rate cuts. What does this tell us?

Btc dominance is holding 60% after a huge move up

Repost from infinityhedge
*WARREN BUFFETT'S BERKSHIRE CASH PILE HITS RECORD $325.2 BILLION *BERKSHIRE SOLD 25% OF ITS APPLE STOCK IN Q3 *THE COMPANY DIDN'T BUY ANY STOCK IN Q3

Alot of craziness will happen the next week

Stay off leverage for now

💸👀 ~$100 million liquidated in the last 4 hours (>$315 million in the last 24 hours)
💸👀 ~$100 million liquidated in the last 4 hours (>$315 million in the last 24 hours)

Posted this yesterday and yet it really does piss me off that we still have to deal with these kind of people on CT https://x.com/lordmoonbags/status/1852021343115501654

welp, now we got the true moce

I do feel we are starting to enter the phase where bad news is bad news. Not saying I'm bearish but rather speaking of reactions to news pieces. I think the trajectory is up until at least q1 2025.

I'm not sure if it plays out this way. Feels the move yesterday was because this report was leaked (imo anyways)

One might look at this and think it's bullish because it cements the need to cut rates

Repost from Tree News
U.S. NONFARM PAYROLLS: +12000 (EST. +106000) U.S. UNEMPLOYMENT RATE: 4.1% (EST. 4.1%) U.S. AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS: +0.4% (EST. +0.3%)