GUULEYSTE FOREX

Gold Market Outlook Slowing Inflation and European Stock Selloff Boost Gold - Gold marked its first weekly gain in four weeks, spurred by signs of slowing inflation in the U.S., which raised hopes for a potential rate cut later this year. European stock selloffs and political turmoil in France further bolstered gold’s appeal. U.S. Inflation and Interest Rate Bets - U.S. inflation data revealed a significant shift, with consumer prices unchanged in May for the first time in nearly two years and a surprise decline in producer prices. As a result, traders now expect about 52 basis points of interest rate cuts by December, up from 37 basis points last week. This adjustment comes despite the Federal Reserve’s recent policy meeting projecting only one quarter-point cut. The market's response indicates a broader expectation of monetary easing, increasing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Technical View - The outlook for gold remains neutral, though a short-term rise to $3,000 per ounce is unlikely. The fundamental support for gold is strong, driven by expectations of monetary easing and geopolitical uncertainties. Analysts predict prices could reach $2,600 to $2,700 per ounce this year, fueled by central bank buying and safe-haven demand. - The coming weeks are crucial as investors await the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions and watch geopolitical developments. With U.S. elections approaching and ongoing turmoil in Europe, market volatility is expected to increase. Despite significant gains this year, reaching the $3,000 mark would require an extraordinary surge. - Gold traders should remain vigilant, keeping a close eye on economic indicators and geopolitical events. While the potential for further gains is strong, a cautious approach is advised as the year progresses.

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