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🚨 The AI Illusion: Why 95% of Investments Are a Bubble, Not Growth
The hype around artificial intelligence has peaked, but the data paints a disturbing picture. We'll explore why a classic credit bubble is hiding behind the hype.
📉 Data from the MIT report (The GenAI Divide):
• 95% of corporate investments in AI have failed to generate any profit.
• The authors coined the term "The GenAI Divide"—the gap between the few who make money and the rest.🔍 Anatomy of a Bubble:
Money Flows in the Wrong Places
79% of financial flows end up with infrastructure players (Nvidia, cloud platforms).
Model developers (OpenAI) receive only 16%, and app creators receive a mere 5%. The Problem of Implementation
Companies are implementing AI for "efficiency," not profit.
Only 5% of pilot projects reach commercial use. The main reason is the "Learning Gap": systems fail to adapt to the business context.
Debt Trap
Capital expenditures (Capex) in the tech sector have reached dot-com bubble levels (18.1% CAGR).
To finance growth, companies are accumulating debt. The volume of "AI debt" already amounts to $1.2 trillion (according to JPMorgan).
📌 Historical Parallel:
The current situation is almost an exact replay of the 2000s bubble: inflated valuations, aggressive spending, debt, and a lack of profitability for most players.
💰 The Only Exception
While startups are burning, Nvidia is posting record revenue ($1.2 billion per quarter, +63% YoY). This confirms the rule: money is made on shovels, not gold.
🎯 Investor Conclusion:
The AI market is following the path of past bubbles. John Keynes's quote is more relevant than ever: "Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent."
Focus on companies with real profits, not mounting debt. The rest is illusion.
#AI #investments #finance #bubble #analytics
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📌 Key Events of the Upcoming Week:
📌Monday, November 10:
📌Tuesday, November 11:
EU - Speech by ECB President Carlo Lagarde - 11:20 AM Moscow time
EU - ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (Nov) - 1:00 PM Moscow time
📌Wednesday, November 12:
🇩🇪Germany - Consumer Price Index (Oct) - 10:00 AM Moscow time
📌Thursday, November 13:
🇬🇧UK - GDP (Q3 2025 - prev) - 10:00 AM Moscow time
🇪🇺EU - ECB Monthly Report - 12:00 PM Moscow time
🇺🇸US - Consumer Price Index (Oct) - 16:30 Moscow time
🇺🇸US - Initial Jobless Claims - 16:30 Moscow time
🇺🇸US - Crude Oil Inventories - 20:00 Moscow time
🇺🇸US - Fed Budget Execution Report (Oct) - 22:00 Moscow time
📌Friday, November 14:
🇺🇸US - Fed Balance Sheet - 00:30 Moscow time
🇨🇳China - Industrial Production (Oct) - 05:00 Moscow time
🇪🇺EU - GDP (Q3 2025 - prev) - 13:00 Moscow
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Sentiment Index: 20, Extreme Fear;
Bitcoin Dominance: 59.79%;
Market Cap: $3.41 trillion;
SP 500: $6,748
Gold (XAU/USD): $4,001
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🟢 BUYING BTC on November 5th:
Fidelity (FBTC) +81,090 BTC ✅
Ark/21 Shares (ARKB) +7,797 BTC ✅
VanEck (HODL) +1,163 BTC ✅
Invesco (BTCO) +113 BTC ✅
Franklin Templeton (EZBC) +20 BTC ✅
🔴 SELLING BTC on November 5th:
BlackRock (IBIT) -63,609 BTC ❌
Valkyrie (BRRR) -113 BTC ❌
➡️ UNCHANGED:
Grayscale (GBTC)
Grayscale Mini (BTC)
Bitwise (BITB)
WisdomTree (BTCW)
📊 TOTAL for November 5th:
Net inflow: +26,459 BTC
Major buyer: Fidelity (+81,090 BTC) 🚀
Major seller: BlackRock (-63,609 BTC)
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BTC could correct to $90,000 - there is an important support level there, so take the risks into account.
متاح الآن! بحث تيليغرام 2025 — أهم رؤى العام 
