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Blanc Charts

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20x daily insights by a wealth manager with passion to long-term stats, psychology investing and volatility management

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منشورات القناة
Sentiment is at a 52-week LOW 😩‼️ NYSE Bullish Percent Index has fallen even lower than during the Q1 correction and to the
Sentiment is at a 52-week LOW 😩‼️ NYSE Bullish Percent Index has fallen even lower than during the Q1 correction and to the lowest level in more than a year Despite index prices still within reach of all-time highs, sentiment is for carp💩 Doesn't stay down here for long.

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Google's squeezing right on the 200-day 🍋 $GOOG $GOOGL
Google's squeezing right on the 200-day 🍋 $GOOG $GOOGL
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3
Inflation is ticking higher globally
Inflation is ticking higher globally
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YTD performance
YTD performance
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Signs of fear in the Treasury market? Big-time $TLT bearish options activity and higher implied vol
Signs of fear in the Treasury market? Big-time $TLT bearish options activity and higher implied vol
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Peekaboo 🫣 $ONDS
Peekaboo 🫣 $ONDS
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Palantir $PLTR peeking over the volume shelf with a 10/10 Minervini trend score
Palantir $PLTR peeking over the volume shelf with a 10/10 Minervini trend score
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Familiar spot for $AVGO 👀
Familiar spot for $AVGO 👀
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Both of these quick moves in yields happened during a Trump midterm year. If the analog holds, that means rates should be tak
Both of these quick moves in yields happened during a Trump midterm year. If the analog holds, that means rates should be taking a breather in October. $TLT
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Market veteran Jim Bianco joins BofA's Hartnett in saying it might be time to start scaling into bonds with an increasingly f
Market veteran Jim Bianco joins BofA's Hartnett in saying it might be time to start scaling into bonds with an increasingly favorable risk/reward profile. Investors who buy 10-year Treasuries at current levels would need to see yields rise to around 6% over the next year before price losses wipe out the bond’s income, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The return profile is also asymmetric: A percentage-point increase in yields would produce a loss of less than 2%, while a decline of the same magnitude would generate a return of about 13%. “This is a value play,” said Bianco, president and founder of Chicago-based Bianco Research. “If we start to see yields going higher, I’m going to continue to get in.” “I’m dipping my toe,” said Bianco, whose firm provides macroeconomic and financial-market research. “Everybody’s ridiculously bearish on the bond market right now,” Bianco said. “I’m getting a big fat cushion for buying bonds at 5.2%. Now’s not the time to be losing your mind over it.” “We are returning to normal,” said Bianco, whose firm provides macroeconomic and financial-market research. “The zero rates from 2010-2020 were the ridiculous outlier.”
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11
The S&P 500 is near its highs. Yet 17% of its stocks are already oversold. The share of stocks with an RSI(14) below 30 has j
The S&P 500 is near its highs. Yet 17% of its stocks are already oversold. The share of stocks with an RSI(14) below 30 has jumped to its highest level since the April selloff. This shows a growing divergence beneath the index, with an increasing number of stocks already stretched to the downside. That does not mean the underlying weakness is over. But when oversold conditions build this quickly, the probability of a short-term bounce increases. $VOO
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Nebius is getting tight 👀 $NBIS
Nebius is getting tight 👀 $NBIS
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One for the bears. NYSE Technical Index ROC fell below -0.9. This index measures market breadth momentum using net advances,
One for the bears. NYSE Technical Index ROC fell below -0.9. This index measures market breadth momentum using net advances, volume, and new highs. Most signals occurred near local $SPX tops. 3 weeks out, the S&P 500 was lower in 6 of 7 cases.
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Even when raising the bar on the participation, the divergence is not a good sign for the stock market. $VOO Minervini
Even when raising the bar on the participation, the divergence is not a good sign for the stock market. $VOO Minervini
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Place this on the ugly side of the table. NYSE McClellan Summation Index fell to its lowest level in over 2 years while the S
Place this on the ugly side of the table. NYSE McClellan Summation Index fell to its lowest level in over 2 years while the S&P 500 is within 5% of its all time high. Only other times this happened were in the days leading up to the dot com bubble and the 2008 GFC.
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House prices have doubled in remarkably short periods: 2000–2007: Denmark, Spain, the UK and France took 5–6.5 years. 2019-20
House prices have doubled in remarkably short periods: 2000–2007: Denmark, Spain, the UK and France took 5–6.5 years. 2019-2026: Portugal and Croatia took 6.5 years. New-build prices just doubled in ~5 years in Montenegro, Moldova and Macedonia. Which market is next?
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The Russell 2000 $IWM has now gone 16 straight days closing either negative on the day or below its opening price. This is a
The Russell 2000 $IWM has now gone 16 straight days closing either negative on the day or below its opening price. This is a new record. The previous record of 15 was set in 2018 and marked a low. $IWM then rallied 26% over the next 40 sessions.
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Volatility. Then strength. That’s October. Midterm years have shown particularly strong advances after the first week, with m
Volatility. Then strength. That’s October. Midterm years have shown particularly strong advances after the first week, with momentum building into the final trading days. $VOO
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I hope you bought some like I did I should have bought calls
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1 year in the life of 10-year yields
1 year in the life of 10-year yields
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