Crypto Bulls

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BTC/USDT closed the weekly candle indecisive, with wicks a huge wick on body sides, no to minor body. Its a very indecisive and currently, moving higher trying to flip the resistance, we need to see a Daily candle closing healthy either side.

BTC/USDT on weekly tf, had a weekly closing with a good rejection candle and this week also, price just moved up and retraced all the way down and now having a rejection candle stick. The another rejection candle means, buyer is bit stronger than seller and can over it soon. Expecting bullish bias for next week not strongly but it can.

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With long-term holders selling and lacking strong upside catalysts above $111.8k, correction probability builds. The Spent Supply Distribution (SSD) Quantiles framework helps identify support levels by analyzing the cost basis of spent coins across 100 percentiles. Key levels include the 0.95 quantile (top 5% of spent supply), 0.85 quantile (top 15%), and 0.75 quantile (top 25%). Historically, absolute euphoria occurs above the 0.95 quantile, sideways bull phases between 0.85-0.95, and bearish periods below 0.75. Currently, the 0.95 quantile at ~$103.7k provides first support. If selling persists, the 0.85 quantile at $95.6k offers structural support, or if breached, confirms broader risk reset.

MTL/USDT gave a shallow closing of the bear flag and dropped around 7.3% in favor. Still price have some room to move all the way down, targeting towards the major support zone.