Elliott Wave TheGM (Independent Research)

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U.S. stocks had mixed results on Tuesday. The S&P 500 rose 0.4%, and the Nasdaq rose 0.8%. The Dow Jones fell 0.4%. In recent days, technology stocks had fallen after some companies reported disappointing results. Apple shares fell 2%. The company’s quarterly results were better than expected, but investors were concerned that its profit margins could shrink. Chip stocks recovered after losing a lot of value in recent days. AMD shares rose nearly 4% before the company released its quarterly results. Intel rose 1%, while Nvidia and Broadcom gained 2% and 3%. The iShares Semiconductor ETF also rose 2.5%. Investors were waiting for the results of the U.S. midterm elections. They were unsure how changes in Congress might affect government spending and regulations. Oil prices rose slightly to $96.75 a barrel after falling 8% the day before. Gold fell 1% to $3,930 an ounce. Bitcoin rose to $77,800 after dropping to about $76,400 overnight. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield increased from 4.91% to 4.97%. This yield can affect the interest rates people pay on loans.

Market Update Most stocks on our watchlist have failed to rebound amid weakening global equity markets following the recent Wall Street sell-off. We remain cautious at current levels. If stocks continue to make new lows, develop a lower-low structure or experience another sharp decline, the overall technical outlook could deteriorate further. We urge subscribers to monitor their holdings closely and consider reducing their exposure whenever necessary. Prolonged selling pressure can gradually weaken market confidence and eventually trigger panic selling, making the situation even worse. Stay alert, manage your risk and monitor your positions closely.

Financial Risk is about potential Value Variation Per Unit Of Time.

Pada hari Jumaat, saham jatuh dengan ketara apabila pelabur semakin bimbang tentang sama ada ledakan kecerdasan buatan (AI) dapat berterusan. Nasdaq merosot 2.9%, S&P 500 turun 1.8%, manakala Dow susut 1.1%. Sepanjang Oktober, Nasdaq jatuh 5.3%—kemerosotan bulanan terbesar sejak Mac 2025—sementara S&P 500 turun 0.9%. Dow pula meningkat 1.7%. Unjuran yang lemah dan keputusan mengecewakan daripada syarikat teknologi utama menambah tekanan kepada pasaran. Saham Intel menjunam 29% selepas syarikat itu memberikan unjuran yang berhati-hati, walaupun keputusan suku tahunannya lebih baik daripada jangkaan. Saham Amazon turut jatuh selepas syarikat itu tidak mencapai jangkaan pasaran dan melaporkan aliran tunai bebas yang lebih rendah susulan perbelanjaan besar untuk AI. Saham semikonduktor merosot secara meluas; AMD dan Marvell masing-masing jatuh lebih daripada 10%, manakala Nvidia turun 4.2%. Saham berkaitan mata wang kripto turut merudum apabila harga Bitcoin jatuh di bawah AS$77,000 berikutan berita tentang penggodaman besar di Binance. Saham Strategy, Coinbase dan Robinhood semuanya mencatatkan kerugian ketara. Dalam pasaran lain, harga emas turun 3.7% kepada AS$3,883 seauns, manakala harga minyak meningkat 2.4% kepada lebih AS$104 setong. Hasil bon Perbendaharaan 10 tahun kekal sekitar 4.93%.

Stocks fell sharply on Friday as investors became increasingly concerned about whether the boom in artificial intelligence can continue. The Nasdaq dropped 2.9%, the S&P 500 fell 1.8%, and the Dow declined 1.1%. For October, the Nasdaq lost 5.3%—its largest monthly fall since March 2025—while the S&P 500 slipped 0.9%. The Dow gained 1.7%. Weak forecasts and disappointing results from major technology companies added to the pressure. Intel shares plunged 29% after the company gave a cautious outlook, despite reporting better-than-expected quarterly results. Amazon also fell after missing expectations and reporting lower free cash flow amid heavy spending on AI. Semiconductor stocks broadly declined, with AMD and Marvell falling by double digits, while Nvidia dropped 4.2%. Cryptocurrency-related shares also tumbled as Bitcoin fell below $77,000 following news of a major hack at Binance. Strategy, Coinbase and Robinhood all recorded significant losses. Elsewhere, gold prices dropped 3.7% to $3,883 an ounce, while oil rose 2.4% to above $104 a barrel. The 10-year Treasury yield remained around 4.93%.

Pengurusan Risiko Dagangan Hadkan risiko bagi setiap trade. Pilih jumlah yang masih membolehkan anda bertahan walaupun mengalami beberapa kerugian berturut-turut. Sebagai panduan umum, elakkan mempertaruhkan lebih daripada 5% daripada modal pelaburan bagi satu dagangan. Tetapkan syarat keluar sebelum membeli atau menjual. Tentukan lebih awal keadaan yang akan membuatkan anda close trade position, walaupun jumlah kerugian tepat belum dapat diketahui. Kecilkan saiz dagangan apabila potensi untung dan ruginya besar. Ganjaran yang lebih tinggi biasanya datang bersama risiko yang lebih besar. Keluar apabila trade tidak lagi mengikut rancangan. Jangan terus bertahan hanya kerana tidak mahu mengakui kerugian. Tindakan awal boleh mengelakkan kerugian daripada bertambah. Anggap panggilan margin sebagai amaran, bukan alasan untuk menambah wang. Semak trade yang tidak menjadi dan nilai semula strategi sebelum memasukkan modal tambahan. Jika perlu mengurangkan pegangan, pertimbangkan untuk menjual pegangan yang paling lemah dahulu. Kekalkan pegangan yang masih memberi keuntungan dan nilai semula pegangan yang berprestasi buruk. Kekal konsisten dengan strategi dagangan. Contohnya, strategi mengikut arah aliran biasanya mengehadkan kerugian sambil memberi ruang kepada dagangan yang menguntungkan untuk terus berkembang. Mengambil untung terlalu awal mungkin bercanggah dengan pendekatan itu. Pilih strategi yang risikonya sanggup anda hadapi. Jika turun naik atau kerugiannya (higher volatiliti) membuatkan anda sukar mematuhi rancangan, strategi itu mungkin tidak sesuai untuk anda. Sediakan rancangan untuk perkara di luar jangkaan. Pasaran tidak sentiasa bergerak seperti yang diramalkan, jadi bersedialah menghadapi kejadian luar biasa seperti perubahan harga yang mendadak. Pastikan modal anda mencukupi untuk menghadapi keadaan tersebut.

Managing Risk: Keep the risk on each trade small. Choose an amount you could lose several times without putting your overall capital in serious danger. As a general guideline, avoid risking more than 5% of your invested money on one trade. Decide when you’ll exit before entering. Have a clear reason for closing the trade, even if you can’t know the exact loss ahead of time. Reduce your position when the possible gains and losses are large. Bigger potential rewards often come with bigger risks, so consider trading a smaller amount. Leave a trade when your plan is no longer working. Don’t keep holding on just to avoid admitting a loss. Acting promptly may prevent the loss from growing. Treat a margin call as a warning, not an invitation to add money. Review what went wrong and whether your strategy is still suitable before committing more capital. When you need to reduce your holdings, consider selling the weakest trades first. Keep positions that are still behaving as expected, and reassess those that are performing poorly. Follow a consistent approach. For example, a trend-following strategy usually involves limiting losses while allowing successful trades room to continue. Taking profits too quickly may conflict with that approach. Choose a strategy whose risks you can tolerate. If its losses or volatility would make it hard for you to stick to the plan, it may not be the right fit.

On 16 October 2026, we warned our clients and subscribers as follows: Wall Street’s decline could put further pressure on the KLCI Index and weaken overall market sentiment. Stocks under our coverage are also experiencing pullbacks, but we cannot be certain how much further prices may fall. For now, the overall bias remains to the downside, pending Wall Street’s performance. Given the global uncertainty, investors should consider trimming positions where appropriate to manage risk. As Elliott Wave practitioners often say, “Hope is not an investment strategy.” We will continue monitoring market developments and provide updates as usual for stocks on our monitoring list. Reference: https://t.me/myMATA/5631

Saham A.S. jatuh pada hari Khamis apabila pelabur bertindak balas terhadap keputusan kewangan syarikat teknologi utama yang mengecewakan dan menilai data ekonomi terkini. Indeks Nasdaq Composite dan Nasdaq 100 masing-masing merosot 1.4%, manakala S&P 500 dan Dow Jones Industrial Average kedua-duanya turun 0.3%. Data inflasi bagi September sedikit lebih rendah daripada jangkaan ahli ekonomi, sementara pertumbuhan ekonomi A.S. pada suku ketiga lebih kukuh daripada ramalan. Walaupun begitu, para pedagang kini melihat kemungkinan besar Rizab Persekutuan (Fed) menaikkan kadar faedah sekurang-kurangnya 0.25 mata peratusan pada mesyuarat Disember. Hasil Perbendaharaan A.S. 10 tahun turun kepada sekitar 4.95%. Sehari sebelumnya, Fed memutuskan untuk mengekalkan kadar faedah tanpa perubahan. Saham teknologi, yang mendorong pasaran meningkat pada awal minggu, kebanyakannya jatuh. Saham Alphabet merosot lebih 12% selepas syarikat itu melaporkan keputusan yang mengecewakan, manakala saham Microsoft turun sedikit walaupun permintaan terhadap perkhidmatan awannya kukuh. Saham Amazon jatuh lebih 4% menjelang pengumuman keputusan kewangannya. Saham berkaitan memori dan semikonduktor turut merosot selepas mencatat kenaikan baru-baru ini. Sebuah ETF saham memori jatuh 4%, manakala ETF semikonduktor yang lebih luas turun 1.5%. Saham Marvell Technology menjunam 13% susulan laporan bahawa syarikat itu sedang mengadakan rundingan lanjut untuk membeli Lumentum Holdings. Harga minyak tidak banyak berubah berikutan laporan tentang kemungkinan usaha untuk menyambung semula rundingan damai dengan Iran. Bitcoin turun semula kepada sekitar AS$80,200 selepas mencecah kira-kira AS$81,700 pada waktu malam. Dolar A.S. melemah sedikit, manakala niaga hadapan emas merosot 0.3% kepada AS$4,041 seauns.

U.S. stocks fell on Thursday as investors reacted to disappointing results from major technology companies and considered fresh economic data. The Nasdaq Composite and Nasdaq 100 each dropped 1.4%, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both declined 0.3%. Inflation data for September came in slightly below economists’ expectations, while U.S. economic growth in the third quarter was stronger than forecast. Even so, traders now see a strong chance that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by at least a quarter-point at its December meeting. The 10-year Treasury yield eased to around 4.95%. The Fed had kept rates unchanged at its meeting the previous day. Technology shares, which had led the market higher earlier in the week, mostly fell. Alphabet dropped more than 12% after reporting disappointing results, while Microsoft edged lower despite strong demand for its cloud services. Amazon shares fell more than 4% ahead of its earnings report. Memory and semiconductor stocks also retreated after recent gains: a memory-stock ETF fell 4%, and a broader semiconductor ETF lost 1.5%. Marvell Technology plunged 13% after reports that it was in advanced talks to buy Lumentum Holdings. Oil prices were little changed amid reports of a possible effort to restart peace negotiations with Iran. Bitcoin fell back to around $80,200 after reaching about $81,700 overnight. The U.S. dollar weakened slightly, while gold futures slipped 0.3% to $4,041 an ounce.

Dear Clients and Subscribers, I am aware and continue monitoring the price movements of the stocks in my portfolio watchlist and will provide updates when significant developments occur. Updates may be shared before or after the price action, depending on market conditions and the technical signals observed. Recently, I updated one stock that reached a new all-time high, as highlighted a few days ago. I also shared the technical target for its next potential rally and maintained my bullish outlook. Thank you for your continued support.

Update: We are monitoring a stock that, in our view, could potentially become a double-bagger, with an estimated upside of 56% from its current level. It is beginning to show characteristics similar to MPI, and if this pattern continues, the stock may be poised to break higher. While we can’t share all the evidence behind our view, we remain optimistic about its potential upside.

U.S. stocks mostly rose on Tuesday as investors prepared for the Federal Reserve’s interest-rate decision. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.3%, while the S&P 500 rose 0.7%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average finished slightly higher, although Boeing’s shares fell nearly 11%, holding back the index. Investors expect the Fed to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday. However, economists think the central bank may raise rates at a later meeting to tackle inflation. The yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds edged down to around 4.99%. Major technology companies’ earnings reports are also drawing attention. Alphabet and Microsoft are expected to report results after markets close on Wednesday, while Amazon is due to report on Thursday. The “Magnificent Seven” technology-stock ETF rose 1%. Tesla gained 4%, but Meta fell 1.5% after saying it planned to raise up to $95 billion to support its artificial-intelligence investments. Nvidia rose nearly 1% and said it would invest $3 billion in Meta’s offering. Other technology-related shares also advanced. Companies involved in memory chips and artificial intelligence posted gains, and a semiconductor ETF rose almost 4%. Oil prices declined as traders watched developments surrounding Israel’s parliamentary elections. U.S. crude fell 1.9% to below $100 a barrel, while Brent crude dropped 1.7% to below $114. Bitcoin traded near $80,600, the U.S. dollar strengthened slightly, and gold futures rose 0.9% to $4,075 an ounce.

Indeks saham utama AS meningkat pada hari pertama minggu ini, yang bakal menyaksikan laporan pendapatan daripada tiga syarikat Magnificent Seven serta keputusan Rizab Persekutuan mengenai kadar faedah. Nasdaq Composite yang berfokuskan teknologi, penanda aras S&P 500 dan Dow Jones Industrial Average yang terdiri daripada saham syarikat bermodal besar masing-masing ditutup naik 0.8%, 0.7% dan 0.3%. Syarikat teknologi bermodal besar dalam kumpulan Magnificent Seven, Alphabet (GOOGL) dan Microsoft (MSFT), dijadualkan mengumumkan keputusan pendapatan selepas pasaran ditutup pada hari Rabu. Amazon (AMZN) pula akan berbuat demikian pada hari Khamis. Saham Tesla (TSLA) melonjak 5% pada hari Isnin, sekali gus mendahului kenaikan kumpulan itu selepas Barclays menaikkan penarafan saham tersebut dan meningkatkan sasaran harganya. Nvidia (NVDA) naik 2.5%. Saham Microsoft meningkat 1.5% susulan berita bahawa sehingga 60,000 pekerjanya layak menerima tawaran pembelian saham. Saham Meta Platforms (META) merosot hampir 2% selepas syarikat itu menyatakan dalam pemfailan kawal selia bahawa ia bercadang mengumpul sehingga AS$95 bilion melalui beberapa tawaran saham bagi membiayai cita-citanya dalam bidang kecerdasan buatan. Satu lagi perkembangan utama pasaran minggu ini dijangka berlaku pada hari Rabu, apabila Jawatankuasa Pasaran Terbuka Persekutuan (FOMC) mengumumkan sama ada kadar faedah akan dikekalkan. Ahli ekonomi menjangkakan Fed akan menaikkan kadar pada mesyuarat akan datang untuk menangani inflasi yang tinggi, tetapi berpendapat tiada keperluan untuk menaikkannya buat kali kedua berturut-turut selepas kenaikan pada bulan September. Menurut CME FedWatch, pasaran kewangan menganggarkan kebarangkalian Fed menaikkan kadar minggu ini hanya 9%. Harga minyak susut selepas melonjak dengan ketara pada penghujung minggu lalu. Niaga hadapan minyak mentah West Texas Intermediate (WTI), penanda aras AS, turun 1.8% kepada AS$101.40 setong pada pukul 4 petang waktu Timur. Niaga hadapan minyak mentah Brent, penanda aras antarabangsa, turun 1.2% kepada AS$115.35, namun kekal hampir pada paras tertinggi sejak akhir April. Hasil Perbendaharaan AS 10 tahun turun satu mata asas kepada bawah 4.99%. Bitcoin didagangkan sekitar AS$79,900, sedikit lebih rendah dalam tempoh 24 jam sebelumnya. Indeks dolar AS, yang mengukur nilai dolar berbanding sekumpulan mata wang asing, naik 0.1% kepada 101.96. Niaga hadapan emas meningkat 0.5% kepada AS$4,025 seauns.

Ringkasan Pasaran Wall Street: Harga Minyak Meningkat, Saham Merosot Pasaran saham Amerika Syarikat ditutup lebih rendah pada Jumaat selepas mengalami minggu dagangan yang tidak menentu. Indeks Dow Jones jatuh sebanyak 1.2%, bersamaan kira-kira 650 mata. S&P 500 susut 0.5%, manakala Nasdaq turun 0.2%. Walaupun ketiga-tiga indeks ditutup lemah pada hari Jumaat, Dow Jones masih mencatat kenaikan 0.4% bagi keseluruhan minggu, iaitu kenaikan mingguan ketiga berturut-turut. Sebaliknya, S&P 500 dan Nasdaq masing-masing merosot 0.5% dan 0.7% sepanjang minggu. Saham Teknologi dan AI Saham berkaitan kecerdasan buatan (AI) menunjukkan sedikit pemulihan selepas mengalami jualan besar pada hari sebelumnya. ETF yang menumpukan kepada saham memori meningkat 3%, manakala saham SK Hynix melonjak 4%. ETF semikonduktor turut mencatat kenaikan kecil. Pergerakan Saham Syarikat Saham SpaceX meningkat 2% susulan laporan bahawa syarikat itu sedang mempertimbangkan pembinaan rangkaian komunikasi mudah alih, termasuk kemungkinan mengambil alih perniagaan berkaitan. Berita tersebut turut mendorong kenaikan saham pengendali menara telekomunikasi, Crown Castle dan American Tower. Harga Minyak dan Ketegangan Geopolitik Minyak mentah WTI meningkat kira-kira 4% kepada AS$103.45 setong, manakala Brent naik 3.4% kepada AS$117 setong. Kenaikan ini mencerminkan kebimbangan pasaran bahawa konflik berpanjangan boleh mengganggu bekalan minyak. Jika harga minyak terus meningkat, kos tenaga dan pengangkutan berpotensi bertambah, sekali gus meningkatkan tekanan inflasi dan menyukarkan usaha untuk menurunkan kadar faedah. Bon, Dolar, Emas dan Bitcoin Hasil bon Perbendaharaan AS 10 tahun meningkat semula kepada hampir 5.01%, selepas mencatat penurunan ketara sehari sebelumnya. Kenaikan hasil bon boleh memberi tekanan kepada saham, khususnya saham teknologi yang mempunyai penilaian tinggi. Indeks dolar AS meningkat 0.2% kepada 101.80. Sebaliknya, harga emas susut 1.2% kepada AS$4,010 seauns. Bitcoin pula didagangkan sekitar AS$81,200, dengan penurunan kecil dalam tempoh 24 jam. Kesimpulan Secara keseluruhan, pasaran Wall Street menghadapi tekanan daripada kenaikan harga minyak, ketegangan geopolitik dan kelemahan saham teknologi utama. Walaupun beberapa saham berkaitan AI menunjukkan pemulihan, sentimen pasaran masih berhati-hati. Perkara utama yang perlu dipantau ialah perkembangan konflik di Timur Tengah, arah pergerakan harga minyak dan hasil bon AS. Jika harga minyak terus meningkat dan hasil bon kekal tinggi, tekanan terhadap pasaran saham mungkin berterusan. Namun, hala tuju seterusnya masih bergantung pada perkembangan geopolitik dan reaksi pelabur terhadap keadaan ekonomi.