audience statistics War Zone

Есть вероятность подготовки в массированному ракетному обстрелу Украины

Російська армія на початку березня захопила Запорізьку АЕС в Енергодарі. З того часу цей об'єкт став мішенню для обстрілів і ядерного шантажу.

Sign up to Morning Brew for free today https://morningbrewdaily.com/perun - Sponsored by Morning Brew Previously, I've looked at the way in which Russian force design and political decision-making have left Russian forces with a surplus of heavy equipment, but an inadequate supply of quality infantry. Today, thanks to a Patron vote, I look at Ukraine's situation. There, the combination of volunteers, popular resistance, and compulsory mobilisation filled the ranks with hundreds of thousands of new troops - but where a shortage of equipment and training has prevented them from realising the true potential of a mobilised, committed nation at war. Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/PerunAU Caveats: There are three overarching caveats that I want to put forward on this video - The quality of data on this topic is subject is low and findings generally carry wide error margins - I do not go into great depth about the distinction between the Ukrainian Army, TDF, NGU, and the many other units that are contributing to the fighting. Please keep in mind the impact these distinctions might have as I go through the presentation. - This video is not intended to be, in any way, a slight on the fighting power and spirit of Ukrainian troops. I think calling out the issue of equipment shortages as well as the limitations of the mobilisation system in fact attests to what the TDF, Army, and other forces have achieved given their resources. There are also some smaller ones on terminology that might be worth mentioning: I use the terms like volunteers and persons 'called up' in a soft fashion. Many of those I describe as 'called up' were called up as a result of voluntary enlistment and registration while largely volunteer formations may include infusions of conscripts. "Mobilisation" is traditionally associated with the mass call ups of conscripts. The Ukrainian experience is much more of a hybrid, combining popular, spontaneous resistance, the mass enlistment of volunteers, and conscription. Timestamps: 00:00:00 -- Opening Words 00:01:34 -- What Am I Covering? 00:02:29 -- Today's Sponsor: MORNING BREW 00:03:36 -- Mobilisation - The Concept 00:05:20 -- The Soviet System 00:07:16 -- Ukraine's Reforms 00:09:12 -- The Ukrainian Mobilisation Experience 00:11:22 -- The Opening Callup 00:14:54 -- Evolving Mobilisation 00:17:55 -- Women in Service 00:20:12 -- Demography and Mobilisation 00:23:43 -- Where Are We Now? 00:24:58 -- How Much Materiel Does Ukraine Have? 00:26:25 -- Why I Don't Use Russian MOD Figures 00:28:16 -- Why I Don't Use Russian MOD Figures: The Examples 00:30:01 -- The Base-Loss-Replenish Method 00:33:38 -- Observed Equipment Method 00:34:20 -- The New 00:35:13 -- The Old 00:36:06 -- The Ugly 00:37:21 -- Statements/Observations 00:40:30 -- The Combined Picture 00:42:41 -- A Diverse Army 00:43:20 -- So What Needs To Happen? 00:46:28 -- Training & The Training Issue 00:49:43 -- Resolution Methods 00:51:52 -- Earned Veterancy 00:54:11 -- Scale and Sustainability 00:56:06 -- What Does This Mean? 00:58:18 -- Offensive Readiness 01:00:28 -- Future Potential? 01:01:48 -- Conclusions 01:02:54 -- Channel Update Sources/References: Ukrainian equipment pre-war: Military Balance 2021 (as always, for consistency) Ukrainian loss data: OSINT visual confirmed: https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-ukrainian.html Declared: https://odessa-journal.com/it-became-known-what-losses-ukraine-has-suffered-in-military-equipment-since-the-beginning-of-the-war/#:~:text=Since%20the%20beginning%20of%20the%20full%2Dscale%20war%2C%20Ukrainian%20troops,the%20intensity%20of%20the%20war. Interview with Ruslan Pukhov: https://wartranslated.com/russian-defence-research-expert-on-afu-performance-the-effect-of-western-weapon-supplies/ Ukraine at War - Paving the Road from Survival to Victory - RUSI (I particularly concur with their contention on priority equipment classes) https://ik.imagekit.io/po8th4g4eqj/prod/special-report-202207-ukraine-final-web.pdf Ukrainian Resupply - Pledged or Delivered (estimated) https://www.ory…